NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	105		Excitement	6.9 [439]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (HOU): +19.6%
Houston Rockets	110		Comeback	1.6 [706]		LVP	Austin Rivers (LAC): -17.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.13	-0.00	-0.00	17	69%	0.17	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.09	-0.00	-0.03	12	69%	0.21	3	-0.10	8	50%	-0.03
Chris Paul	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	18	55%	0.15	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.04	12	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	10	30%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	-0.02	9	32%	-0.03	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Austin Rivers	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.08	-0.00	8	28%	-0.09	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.08	0.00	11	77%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.05	-0.04	11	75%	0.24	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	17	51%	0.14	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	13	55%	0.10	3	-0.06	12	83%	0.03
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	48%	0.05	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	10	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	9	35%	-0.06	1	-0.04	8	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.4	31.4	16.7	27.8	2.8	37.3	145.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +34.7%

LAC -5.9%

LAC -2.3%

HOU +24.0%

LAC -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	15.3	14.4	15.1	109.4	112.2	104.2
season	14.6	14.3		110.5	105.6
opponent	14.9	15.3		103.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.5	16.1	15.8	14.8	15.3
HOU	14.3	14.6	14.9	14.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	63	65	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-2	-1	14.6	16.6	-2.03	14.3	14.6	-0.27
Chris Paul	76	77	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-9	13	15.1	15.8	-0.73	14.9	12.8	2.06
Glen Davis	32	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-3	1	16.6	14.6	1.94	14.5	14.4	0.13
JJ Redick	60	61	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	-0.18	1	-6	7	14.3	16.8	-2.50	14.9	13.6	1.30
DeAndre Jordan	73	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-5	5	15.2	15.7	-0.50	14.8	13.1	1.67
Matt Barnes	64	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-7	9	15.5	14.9	0.59	14.8	13.8	1.01
Austin Rivers	30	32	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.15	-8	3	-11	16.3	14.8	1.50	12.9	15.2	-2.21
Hedo Turkoglu	16	17	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	7	-19	16.1	15.1	0.95	11.6	15.0	-3.44
Jamal Crawford	66	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	2	-9	15.6	14.5	1.12	14.2	14.9	-0.73

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	70	70	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.24	10	-5	15	14.1	15.3	-1.20	15.5	14.8	0.69
Josh Smith	56	56	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.22	10	-5	15	14.0	15.0	-1.08	16.2	14.0	2.14
Pablo Prigioni	34	33	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.13	12	-7	19	13.0	15.2	-2.23	15.7	15.0	0.65
Corey Brewer	56	55	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	0	5	13.8	15.2	-1.42	14.9	15.7	-0.80
Donatas Motiejunas	71	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	4	-3	14.4	14.6	-0.28	15.1	15.8	-0.73
Terrence Jones	67	64	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	5	-5	14.9	13.5	1.38	14.9	16.0	-1.05
James Harden	73	71	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	11	-17	15.1	12.6	2.51	15.2	15.6	-0.39
Jason Terry	63	63	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.22	-7	12	-19	15.4	12.6	2.80	15.0	15.7	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.71,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.87,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 113, DEN 126	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.2%
ATL 91, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.67,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.6%
IND 92, MIL 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.77,0.94,0.85,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.2%