inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 120 Excitement11.5 [30] MVPJaylen Brown (BOS): +59.4%
Boston Celtics 116 Comeback10.7 [63] LVPJayson Tatum (BOS): -43.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bam Adebayo0.570,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.570.110.470.011862%0.682-0.11989%0.15
Jimmy Butler0.200,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.20.060.160.022156%0.373-0.17333%-0.03
Kyle Lowry0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.06-0.01-0.041371%0.184-0.092100%0.01
Caleb Martin0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.00950%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Udonis Haslem-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00333%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Haywood Highsmith-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.00520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tyler Herro-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.07-0.100.021968%0.215-0.2600%0.00
Max Strus-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01629%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Gabe Vincent-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00625%-0.041-0.0200%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaylen Brown0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.590.590.140.460.012367%0.755-0.16989%0.08
Grant Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.480.480.170.310.008100%0.501-0.022100%0.01
Sam Hauser0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.03-0.00462%0.0600.0000%0.00
Luke Kornet00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derrick White0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.04-0.030.02862%0.082-0.085100%0.02
Malcolm Brogdon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00737%-0.041-0.02250%-0.02
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.06-0.02550%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Marcus Smart0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.060.021456%-0.014-0.09425%-0.05
Jayson Tatum0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25,-0.34,-0.43-0.43-0.19-0.240.001833%-0.255-0.18667%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.62.430.515.426.41.835.02.511.5151.9
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.42.315.0135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +7.5%
MIA +15.9%
MIA +31.1%
BOS -9.8%
MIA +5.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIABOSNBAMIABOSNBA
this game14.913.414.4106.2104.5113.4
season15.114.5111.9116.3
opponent14.614.6110.6112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA15.014.715.714.115.914.9
BOS12.711.414.314.715.713.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Herro82810.92-0.421.340.727-31015.014.80.2413.812.51.23
Haywood Highsmith61570.86-0.361.210.5012-82014.215.8-1.6314.212.61.67
Gabe Vincent57550.57-0.070.640.425-1614.415.6-1.2013.713.20.44
Bam Adebayo79790.50-0.000.500.307-31014.915.0-0.0814.510.73.77
Kyle Lowry79810.400.100.300.0811-71814.915.1-0.2013.812.51.23
Udonis Haslem990.030.47-0.440.0304-416.814.81.9911.713.6-1.92
Dewayne Dedmon2120-0.000.50-0.510.02-15-614.715.0-0.3410.314.1-3.82
Max Strus4645-0.010.51-0.52-0.0722014.415.3-0.8613.113.6-0.50
Jimmy Butler7472-0.050.55-0.600.24-1014-2415.913.12.7812.814.5-1.71
Caleb Martin5756-0.711.21-1.92-0.33-1317-3015.414.50.8212.314.6-2.28

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Horford63630.24-0.740.98-0.029-132213.613.30.2815.314.50.73
Derrick White59600.23-0.730.960.037-111813.513.40.0915.214.70.50
Grant Williams57590.05-0.550.590.13-3-1-212.514.4-1.9715.114.80.22
Marcus Smart87890.03-0.530.56-0.2710-142412.616.6-4.0215.712.13.64
Jaylen Brown9596-0.16-0.340.18-0.377-111813.115.1-1.9815.412.13.33
Luke Kornet2222-0.21-0.290.080.08-106-1613.713.40.3113.715.3-1.57
Jayson Tatum8588-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.391-5613.612.70.9215.313.81.42
Sam Hauser4646-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.08-106-1614.912.42.5313.615.9-2.22
Malcolm Brogdon4746-0.720.22-0.93-0.13-2016-3614.212.91.3512.816.4-3.61


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.47,0.26,0.35,0.39,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.41,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 98, WAS 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.33,0.17,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.57,088.9%
MIA 93, WAS 900.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.88,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.14,0.29,0.55,0.41,087.7%
DEN 123, GSW 1180.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.39,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.39,0.15,0.22,0.08,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.33,0.42,087.1%