NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	101		Excitement	5.5 [733]		MVP	Wenyen Gabriel (LAL): +18.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	120		Comeback	1.9 [899]		LVP	Malik Monk (LAL): -15.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Georgios Kalaitzakis	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.04	-0.04	19	58%	0.19	4	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Isaiah Roby	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	7	82%	0.15	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Jaylen Hoard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	23	59%	0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zavier Simpson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	15	39%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Vit Krejci	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	7	37%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Melvin Frazier Jr.	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	0.04	17	40%	-0.07	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wenyen Gabriel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.08	0.02	7	89%	0.18	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mason Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.03	0.05	4	100%	0.15	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.02
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	16	54%	0.12	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.00
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	5	69%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	7	68%	0.11	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.03
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	9	56%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	16	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.04	0.04	13	44%	-0.06	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.4	24.7	15.3	27.7	2.5	27.2	127.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +24.0%

LAL +6.1%

OKC -0.4%

LAL +16.5%

LAL +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAL	NBA	OKC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.5	14.2	14.5	100.0	120.0	110.8
season	14.4	14.3		103.2	109.5
opponent	14.2	14.4		112.2	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.7	15.5	14.7	14.1	14.5
LAL	15.1	12.7	15.3	13.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Roby	31	30	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.04	5	-24	29	11.8	15.7	-3.88	16.0	13.4	2.63
Georgios Kalaitzakis	96	95	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.11	-20	1	-21	14.5	14.8	-0.32	13.8	21.2	-7.41
Melvin Frazier Jr.	92	91	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.00	-17	-2	-15	14.7	12.6	2.13	14.1	15.1	-1.05
Zavier Simpson	98	97	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.09	-20	1	-21	14.7	9.0	5.66	14.0	19.3	-5.33
Jaylen Hoard	98	97	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.10	-21	2	-23	14.6	11.7	2.91	14.0	18.0	-3.96
Vit Krejci	90	90	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	0.02	-22	3	-25	15.0	10.6	4.33	14.3	12.6	1.73

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wenyen Gabriel	51	50	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.10	24	-5	29	13.8	14.6	-0.81	14.9	14.1	0.88
Mason Jones	38	39	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.12	21	-2	23	13.1	14.8	-1.74	14.7	14.4	0.32
Wayne Ellington	46	46	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	4	11	14.2	14.1	0.15	14.7	14.3	0.41
Talen Horton-Tucker	71	72	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.18	21	-2	23	13.6	15.4	-1.81	15.1	13.0	2.05
Malik Monk	74	75	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	7	5	13.8	15.1	-1.29	14.1	15.6	-1.46
D.J. Augustin	47	46	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	9	1	14.8	13.6	1.26	14.6	14.4	0.25
Stanley Johnson	66	67	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	14.9	12.7	2.20	14.1	15.3	-1.20
Austin Reaves	58	59	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	20	-21	14.5	13.7	0.77	14.3	14.8	-0.46
Dwight Howard	49	51	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	24	-29	14.6	13.8	0.81	14.1	14.9	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, CHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
CHI 112, POR 124	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
CHI 110, UTA 125	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%