NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	5.9 [662]		MVP	Greg Brown III (POR): +14.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder	98		Comeback	125.6 [28]		LVP	Kris Dunn (POR): -27.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Brown III	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.01	0.00	9	77%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Drew Eubanks	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	8	78%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
CJ Elleby	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Didi Louzada	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elijah Hughes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.05	-0.02	14	60%	0.14	4	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
Keljin Blevins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	0.00	-0.07	-0.01	16	50%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Perry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.27	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27	-0.21	-0.10	-0.04	15	22%	-0.20	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vit Krejci	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.10	-0.02	10	55%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Olivier Sarr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.09	-0.03	8	50%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Lindy Waters III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Roby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.03	-0.04	18	47%	0.13	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Jaylen Hoard	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	17	60%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	17%	-0.04
Zavier Simpson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	0.03	12	42%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Georgios Kalaitzakis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.05	0.01	13	50%	-0.02	7	-0.15	8	37%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.5	26.5	14.4	23.6	2.3	24.6	121.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +33.9%

POR -2.4%

OKC +17.4%

OKC +1.4%

POR -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	OKC	NBA	POR	OKC	NBA
this game	13.9	15.9	14.5	98.9	100.0	110.8
season	14.6	14.4		106.9	103.2
opponent	14.4	14.5		111.2	115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	12.6	14.0	13.3	15.9	13.9
OKC	14.4	14.8	18.0	16.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Brown III	48	50	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.03	10	-14	24	13.6	14.2	-0.61	16.7	15.1	1.66
Keljin Blevins	37	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.14	-6	2	-8	14.3	13.6	0.69	14.7	16.7	-1.96
Reggie Perry	26	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	0	-4	15.1	13.5	1.61	15.9	15.9	0.02
CJ Elleby	53	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.55	12	-16	28	13.1	15.0	-1.88	16.8	14.6	2.25
Elijah Hughes	21	21	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.11	-13	9	-22	16.2	13.3	2.93	15.2	16.1	-0.85
Didi Louzada	33	33	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	13	-30	15.2	13.2	2.05	14.9	16.4	-1.55
Keon Johnson	70	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-5	6	14.0	13.7	0.31	16.5	14.4	2.02
Kris Dunn	60	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.50	3	-7	10	13.0	15.4	-2.37	16.0	15.7	0.31
Drew Eubanks	69	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.42	0	-4	4	13.5	15.1	-1.61	15.9	15.9	-0.02
Ben McLemore	58	57	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.41	-6	2	-8	13.9	14.0	-0.11	15.1	17.0	-1.96

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Roby	87	84	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.35	10	-6	16	16.0	15.5	0.51	14.0	13.1	0.92
Jaylen Hoard	92	90	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.34	9	-5	14	16.2	10.7	5.58	13.9	13.4	0.53
Olivier Sarr	77	77	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.39	1	3	-2	16.0	15.7	0.25	14.1	13.2	0.91
Zavier Simpson	88	85	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	5	-6	16.4	11.3	5.13	14.0	12.9	1.12
Georgios Kalaitzakis	89	87	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	0	4	15.4	21.3	-5.97	14.1	12.1	1.94
Vit Krejci	47	42	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.33	-8	12	-20	16.1	15.7	0.34	13.0	14.6	-1.67
Lindy Waters III	10	10	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	-1	6	11.3	16.4	-5.13	12.9	14.0	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.31,0.19,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.47,0.78,0.96,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 94, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.53,0.72,0.91,0.92,1	92.1%
PHX 102, POR 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.31,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.46,0.79,0.95,0.98,1	91.0%
MIN 108, SAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.24,0.4,0.55,0.55,0.86,0.84,1	90.5%