NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Excitement	7.4 [352]		MVP	Jakob Poeltl (SAS): +23.5%
San Antonio Spurs	111		Comeback	38.2 [83]		LVP	Lonnie Walker IV (SAS): -14.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Beasley	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2	0.24	-0.01	0.03	18	78%	0.20	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	8	61%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Edwards	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	14	47%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jaylen Nowell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Naz Reid	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,-0.03,-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.00	20	45%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.04

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.12	0.03	10	83%	0.26	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.09
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.27,0.27,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.14	0.03	19	61%	0.27	2	-0.05	11	91%	0.05
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.07	0.02	4	75%	0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	71%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	47%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	11	45%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	16	47%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	9	29%	-0.07	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	0.00	10	10%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	24.5	15.5	23.5	1.5	35.6	126.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +8.1%

SAS +23.6%

SAS +5.3%

SAS +6.3%

SAS +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	14.1	14.6	14.4	108.0	109.9	111.3
season	14.1	14.6		108.7	109.8
opponent	14.2	14.0		111.3	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.0	14.1	13.6	15.6	14.1
SAS	14.2	15.9	14.1	14.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Okogie	51	52	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.00	5	-8	13	13.3	14.8	-1.48	14.8	14.3	0.48
Jake Layman	23	23	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-7	11	13.9	14.1	-0.19	15.5	14.3	1.20
Jaylen Nowell	34	34	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.04	2	-5	7	14.6	13.8	0.84	14.7	14.6	0.12
Jarred Vanderbilt	33	33	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.03	2	-5	7	14.5	13.8	0.72	14.5	14.7	-0.21
Jaden McDaniels	40	39	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.10	-3	0	-3	14.5	13.8	0.69	13.9	15.0	-1.05
Ricky Rubio	57	60	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.38	-6	3	-9	14.4	13.6	0.76	14.3	15.0	-0.77
Naz Reid	67	68	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.44	-5	2	-7	13.8	14.5	-0.72	14.7	14.5	0.21
Anthony Edwards	66	67	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.45	-5	2	-7	13.8	14.6	-0.84	14.6	14.7	-0.12
Malik Beasley	67	67	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.45	-5	2	-7	13.9	14.5	-0.63	14.6	14.7	-0.12
D'Angelo Russell	62	62	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.49	-4	1	-5	14.4	13.6	0.82	14.8	14.3	0.55

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick White	53	52	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.40	18	-15	33	13.5	15.8	-2.28	15.3	12.7	2.56
Patty Mills	56	56	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.35	19	-16	35	13.8	15.6	-1.81	14.7	13.2	1.53
DeMar DeRozan	85	85	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.40	6	-3	9	14.3	16.1	-1.82	13.7	16.2	-2.52
Dejounte Murray	63	61	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.59	-5	8	-13	15.6	13.0	2.56	13.8	14.5	-0.70
Jakob Poeltl	71	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	2	-1	14.7	14.3	0.47	14.0	14.1	-0.11
Trey Lyles	26	26	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.09	9	-6	15	14.9	14.5	0.39	13.8	14.1	-0.29
Devin Vassell	43	43	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.18	7	-4	11	13.9	15.1	-1.20	14.7	13.6	1.04
Drew Eubanks	17	17	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.10	-8	11	-19	13.6	14.8	-1.21	14.3	14.0	0.28
Keldon Johnson	46	45	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	0.08	-16	19	-35	15.7	13.7	2.02	13.2	14.7	-1.48
Lonnie Walker IV	45	44	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	0.06	-16	19	-35	15.6	13.8	1.81	13.2	14.7	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.24,0.4,0.55,0.55,0.86,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 116, CHI 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.77,0.89,1	92.2%
PHX 94, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.53,0.72,0.91,0.92,1	91.7%
HOU 96, ATL 104	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.19,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.24,0.28,0.69,0.45,0.76,0.84,1	91.2%