NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	116		Excitement	7.3 [384]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +52.2%
Chicago Bulls	118		Comeback	49.8 [73]		LVP	Larry Nance Jr. (CLE): -13.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedi Osman	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13	0.16	-0.00	0.03	5	114%	0.22	1	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Collin Sexton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.01,0.01	0.10	-0.11	-0.02	17	72%	0.09	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Alfonzo McKinnie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	78%	0.07	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Dante Exum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.07,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.1	0.13	-0.22	0.01	20	64%	-0.00	2	-0.10	5	100%	0.05
Darius Garland	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.11	-0.09	-0.07	-0.06	14	55%	0.03	8	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	3	67%	0.01	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.52	0.52	0.23	0.30	-0.00	31	64%	0.54	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	14	59%	0.12	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chandler Hutchison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	61%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	0.05	6	71%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Kornet	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.13	-0.13	0.05	-0.16	0.03	7	79%	0.06	2	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.6	27.0	14.4	27.3	2.5	38.5	135.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +55.1%

CLE -25.1%

CLE -7.0%

CHI +29.2%

CLE -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	14.9	13.5	14.2	113.7	116.8	109.6
season	15.1	14.1		106.3	105.3
opponent	14.4	13.8		108.2	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.4	14.8	14.2	16.2	14.9
CHI	13.8	17.2	11.9	11.5	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alfonzo McKinnie	42	40	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.11	1	-3	4	15.1	14.8	0.31	15.0	12.4	2.56
Matthew Dellavedova	19	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.06	-4	2	-6	16.6	14.5	2.11	14.6	13.2	1.45
Dante Exum	32	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	5	-12	14.0	15.3	-1.33	13.4	13.5	-0.15
Larry Nance Jr.	52	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	5	-12	14.7	15.2	-0.49	13.3	13.6	-0.26
Kevin Love	72	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.66	11	-13	24	14.7	15.4	-0.69	13.4	13.6	-0.16
Collin Sexton	72	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.57	8	-10	18	14.7	15.4	-0.74	13.4	13.6	-0.25
Tristan Thompson	80	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	6	-14	15.2	13.7	1.57	13.6	13.0	0.54
Darius Garland	79	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.53	2	-4	6	15.3	13.6	1.74	13.3	14.1	-0.87
Cedi Osman	62	61	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.45	-6	4	-10	14.5	15.6	-1.09	12.4	15.0	-2.56

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chandler Hutchison	47	47	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.49	12	-10	22	13.4	13.5	-0.10	15.1	14.7	0.36
Kris Dunn	71	68	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.64	0	2	-2	13.5	13.5	-0.02	15.3	14.1	1.28
Lauri Markkanen	69	71	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.45	6	-4	10	13.0	14.4	-1.35	15.2	14.3	0.85
Tomas Satoransky	61	60	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.58	1	1	0	13.3	13.7	-0.45	15.5	14.1	1.39
Zach LaVine	83	83	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.55	-1	3	-4	13.1	14.9	-1.74	15.2	13.6	1.64
Shaquille Harrison	18	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.11	3	-1	4	12.3	13.7	-1.37	14.0	15.1	-1.12
Ryan Arcidiacono	9	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	0	2	14.9	13.3	1.57	14.0	15.0	-1.02
Coby White	40	43	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.16	3	-1	4	13.4	13.5	-0.13	14.2	15.4	-1.17
Thaddeus Young	32	32	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.06	-2	4	-6	14.4	13.0	1.35	13.9	15.4	-1.51
Luke Kornet	47	49	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.15	-3	5	-8	13.5	13.4	0.14	14.5	15.3	-0.77
Cristiano Felicio	28	27	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.07	-11	13	-24	15.1	12.8	2.29	14.7	15.0	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.77,0.89,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 91, NOH 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.38,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.46,0.38,0.54,0.78,0.85,1	91.5%
MIA 118, HOU 121	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.24,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.13,0.15,0.33,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.72,1	90.6%
SAS 85, LAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.45,0.84,0.85,1	90.5%