NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	91		Excitement	6.6 [502]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +26.6%
New Orleans Hornets	94		Comeback	42.1 [122]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -22.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.00	0.09	-0.00	6	42%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	13	48%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	15	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Pooh Jeter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	4	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	6	29%	-0.06	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Tyreke Evans	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2	0.01	-0.20	0.01	18	56%	-0.08	4	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.08,-0.15,-0.22	-0.05	-0.21	-0.03	9	65%	0.08	5	-0.30	2	50%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.12	0.17	0.03	11	63%	0.27	0	0.00	13	92%	0.07
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	7	62%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.07	-0.02	9	45%	0.09	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
David Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	5	71%	0.04	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	0.07	-0.09	0.05	15	61%	0.03	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	14	35%	-0.12	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.08
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	7	22%	-0.06	2	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	31.6	16.4	27.4	2.7	37.0	142.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +14.7%

NOH +17.7%

NOH +8.7%

NOH +13.9%

SAC -5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NOH	NBA	SAC	NOH	NBA
this game	16.9	14.8	15.5	100.0	103.3	105.7
season	14.9	16.2		102.1	104.6
opponent	15.9	14.9		104.4	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.7	16.3	17.8	17.7	16.9
NOH	15.6	14.4	15.7	13.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte Greene	38	38	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.09	10	-13	23	16.5	17.1	-0.63	15.6	14.2	1.42
Luther Head	19	18	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.05	1	-4	5	16.6	16.9	-0.30	14.1	15.0	-0.90
Samuel Dalembert	37	37	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-4	5	15.5	17.8	-2.28	13.6	15.6	-2.00
Pooh Jeter	16	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-6	9	16.6	16.9	-0.37	14.9	14.7	0.21
Carl Landry	39	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.07	2	-5	7	16.9	16.8	0.14	14.8	14.8	0.04
Jason Thompson	56	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	3	-9	16.9	16.9	0.02	14.6	15.0	-0.42
DeMarcus Cousins	50	49	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.28	-9	6	-15	17.8	15.7	2.07	16.4	12.9	3.53
Beno Udrih	77	75	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.45	-4	1	-5	17.0	16.3	0.69	14.5	16.1	-1.63
Omri Casspi	43	44	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.43	-6	3	-9	17.6	16.2	1.35	13.4	16.1	-2.70
Tyreke Evans	80	81	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.41	-7	4	-11	16.7	18.3	-1.60	15.2	11.4	3.80

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Thornton	42	45	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.12	22	-19	41	15.5	14.2	1.34	17.1	16.6	0.52
Chris Paul	72	73	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.48	4	-1	5	14.4	16.3	-1.87	16.7	17.7	-1.06
Willie Green	46	46	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.07	19	-16	35	15.4	14.2	1.19	17.4	16.4	1.01
Emeka Okafor	63	64	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.33	4	-1	5	14.8	14.7	0.10	16.6	17.6	-1.03
David West	77	78	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.38	0	3	-3	14.7	15.0	-0.26	16.7	17.8	-1.14
Jason Smith	32	31	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	1	1	14.3	15.0	-0.67	17.7	16.4	1.28
Marco Belinelli	41	41	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.59	-17	20	-37	14.1	15.4	-1.29	16.4	17.3	-0.87
Quincy Pondexter	6	5	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	1	1	18.3	14.5	3.80	19.6	16.7	2.89
David Andersen	10	9	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	3	-3	16.3	14.6	1.71	17.6	16.8	0.76
Jarrett Jack	25	24	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	5	-7	14.2	15.0	-0.80	17.7	16.6	1.14
Trevor Ariza	41	39	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	0.17	-19	22	-41	14.6	14.9	-0.31	16.0	17.5	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.38,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.46,0.38,0.54,0.78,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 117, GSW 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.46,0.69,0.96,0.95,1	92.6%
SAS 85, LAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.45,0.84,0.85,1	92.1%
SAC 101, GSW 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.46,0.69,0.73,1	91.8%