NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	120		Excitement	11.5 [26]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +79.7%
Brooklyn Nets	119		Comeback	73.6 [24]		LVP	Goran Dragic (BKN): -17.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.80	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.8	0.16	0.59	-0.04	21	72%	1.09	8	-0.30	19	79%	0.14
Wesley Matthews	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.01	9	61%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	4	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	8	65%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	9	50%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	12	53%	0.04	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.03
Brook Lopez	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	7	31%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.09,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.00	18	45%	0.10	6	-0.20	6	83%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.31	0.31	0.00	0.28	-0.02	21	58%	0.43	6	-0.12	3	100%	0.20
Bruce Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.16	0.00	17	61%	0.29	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.13
Seth Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.12	-0.01	13	62%	0.25	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	-0.03	22	53%	0.17	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Kessler Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	69%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.09
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.13	0.00	6	42%	-0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.6	2.6	28.0	15.5	28.6	3.5	43.2	2.4	16.5	162.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +25.5%

MIL +15.9%

MIL +24.9%

BKN -35.0%

MIL +18.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BKN	NBA	MIL	BKN	NBA
this game	13.1	14.5	14.5	102.6	104.4	110.8
season	13.7	14.4		112.2	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.8		112.1	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	14.8	12.9	10.9	12.2	18.9	13.1
BKN	11.9	14.3	14.0	16.6	18.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	86	85	1.00	-0.50	1.49	0.64	12	-11	23	12.7	14.1	-1.33	15.2	12.3	2.84
George Hill	38	35	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.50	5	-4	9	11.3	13.9	-2.58	13.5	14.9	-1.41
Jrue Holiday	93	91	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.32	9	-8	17	13.3	12.1	1.21	14.8	13.0	1.84
Bobby Portis	69	68	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.41	-1	2	-3	12.2	14.3	-2.08	14.2	14.8	-0.53
Jevon Carter	2	0	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.38	0	1	-1	0.5	13.3	-12.80	0.0	14.5	-14.46
Grayson Allen	61	61	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.30	-1	2	-3	13.7	12.4	1.36	14.4	14.5	-0.05
Wesley Matthews	77	73	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	4	-7	13.5	12.2	1.31	15.3	13.0	2.21
Pat Connaughton	43	44	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	2	-3	14.8	12.1	2.66	13.8	14.9	-1.09
Khris Middleton	70	68	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.15	-6	7	-13	12.6	13.9	-1.28	13.4	16.1	-2.72
Brook Lopez	46	45	-0.46	0.96	-1.43	-0.20	-9	10	-19	14.1	12.4	1.69	14.5	14.4	0.04

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kessler Edwards	12	13	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.04	8	-9	17	10.6	14.9	-4.34	14.6	12.9	1.72
Andre Drummond	61	62	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	1	-3	15.1	13.7	1.40	13.5	12.7	0.78
Nic Claxton	53	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.16	1	-2	3	13.7	15.1	-1.40	12.9	13.2	-0.33
Seth Curry	71	72	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	5	-11	15.5	12.8	2.61	13.6	12.3	1.29
James Johnson	25	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	6	-13	14.4	14.5	-0.13	12.1	13.3	-1.26
Patty Mills	37	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.43	3	-4	7	13.1	15.1	-1.97	11.3	14.0	-2.71
Goran Dragic	46	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.61	7	-8	15	13.0	15.5	-2.53	12.6	13.4	-0.81
Kyrie Irving	94	95	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	1	-3	15.3	10.5	4.75	13.5	11.2	2.34
Kevin Durant	97	101	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.47	1	-2	3	14.2	15.8	-1.53	13.0	13.4	-0.34
Bruce Brown	74	74	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.36	-8	7	-15	15.0	13.4	1.60	13.2	12.8	0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.47,0.53,0.83,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.46,0.53,0.22,0.17,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.59,0.59,0.47,0.75,0.97,0.9,0.87,0.54,0.61,0.07,0.06,0.02,0	90.2%
MEM 100, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.54,0.45,0.21,0.02,0.08,0	90.1%
MIN 106, UTA 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.31,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.96,0.5,0.47,0.37,0.09,0.15,0	89.6%