NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	120		Excitement	5.6 [727]		MVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (DAL): +27.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	112		Comeback	2.3 [595]		LVP	Kevin Love (CLE): -6.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.22	0.07	0.02	16	80%	0.30	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.15	0.08	-0.03	26	62%	0.31	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Dwight Powell	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.04	0.00	6	88%	0.18	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jalen Brunson	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	14	58%	0.09	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03
Reggie Bullock	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	64%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Garland	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.07	-0.03	17	69%	0.26	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Caris LeVert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.19	0.01	0.06	19	70%	0.19	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.00
Moses Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	5	86%	0.10	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	9	73%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
RJ Nembhard Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dylan Windler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	31.3	14.8	26.1	2.5	25.5	126.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +28.0%

DAL +9.1%

CLE -1.1%

DAL +14.2%

CLE -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CLE	NBA	DAL	CLE	NBA
this game	16.1	14.3	14.5	126.3	117.9	110.8
season	15.6	15.2		112.4	110.6
opponent	14.4	14.5		108.5	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.4	14.2	15.0	19.7	16.1
CLE	14.0	15.2	17.0	11.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	71	72	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.18	16	-8	24	16.2	15.6	0.57	14.5	13.5	0.98
Luka Doncic	74	74	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.24	14	-6	20	16.1	16.0	0.07	14.3	14.0	0.34
Reggie Bullock	83	83	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.22	13	-5	18	16.2	15.2	1.01	14.1	15.1	-0.94
Maxi Kleber	53	52	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.29	3	5	-2	16.4	15.6	0.78	13.9	14.7	-0.79
Dwight Powell	44	44	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	2	4	15.0	16.9	-1.92	14.2	14.3	-0.11
Josh Green	32	31	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	6	-4	16.1	16.0	0.06	15.1	13.8	1.29
Jalen Brunson	79	80	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	13	-18	16.2	15.6	0.59	13.6	17.9	-4.28
Marquese Chriss	4	4	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	7	-6	22.0	15.8	6.21	25.0	13.8	11.21
Davis Bertans	21	20	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.06	-2	10	-12	16.1	16.0	0.05	14.4	14.2	0.24
Brandon Knight	14	15	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.03	-8	16	-24	14.0	16.4	-2.41	13.5	14.4	-0.87

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dylan Windler	25	25	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.08	6	-14	20	13.2	14.6	-1.39	16.2	16.0	0.20
Darius Garland	77	75	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.23	10	-18	28	13.4	17.9	-4.47	15.6	17.8	-2.21
RJ Nembhard Jr.	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-10	12	8.7	14.5	-5.76	22.5	15.8	6.73
Lamar Stevens	50	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.34	9	-17	26	13.6	15.0	-1.36	17.1	14.8	2.34
Moses Brown	42	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-7	6	13.5	14.9	-1.41	16.0	16.1	-0.14
Isaac Okoro	63	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	0	-8	14.6	13.5	1.10	15.5	17.2	-1.68
Kevin Love	51	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.03	-13	5	-18	15.3	13.1	2.23	15.2	17.1	-1.89
Lauri Markkanen	66	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.18	-10	2	-12	14.4	13.9	0.48	15.9	16.4	-0.51
Brandon Goodwin	22	23	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.05	-17	9	-26	17.5	13.3	4.27	17.8	15.5	2.28
Caris LeVert	75	76	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.17	-18	10	-28	14.5	13.2	1.28	16.1	15.8	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 120, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.22,0.13,0.22,0.25,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.3%
CHI 100, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.23,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0	94.2%
CHI 112, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%