inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 100 Excitement5.0 [818] MVPPau Gasol (CHI): +16.4%
Toronto Raptors 93 Comeback2.7 [313] LVPAaron Brooks (CHI): -12.2%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pau Gasol0.160,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.160.100.04-0.021964%0.202-0.03475%-0.00
Mike Dunleavy0.130,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.130.080.04-0.011058%0.1300.00450%-0.01
Jimmy Butler0.130,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.130.130.010.011075%0.161-0.03875%0.01
Joakim Noah0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.020.010.00-0.01550%0.0200.0020%-0.00
Derrick Rose0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0-0.040.01-0.041453%0.045-0.041090%0.03
E'Twaun Moore0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.01-0.04233%0.032-0.032100%0.02
Taj Gibson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.01-0.021145%0.043-0.0700%0.00
Nikola Mirotic-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Doug McDermott-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.010.0010%-0.042-0.0520%-0.03
Aaron Brooks-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.13-0.01-0.0140%-0.063-0.0700%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.140.140.110.02-0.01976%0.151-0.01367%-0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00956%0.051-0.01771%-0.02
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.021060%0.061-0.0400%0.00
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.00-0.04530%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03-0.030.01-0.020.021949%0.012-0.04333%-0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00850%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Lou Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.010.01625%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.01-0.01550%0.015-0.11475%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11-0.11-0.12-0.02-0.021726%-0.1100.004100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.72.829.117.327.53.347.6151.3
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +36.9%
CHI +2.7%
CHI +15.6%
TOR -5.4%
CHI +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHITORNBACHITORNBA
this game14.814.915.1102.096.9104.2
season15.515.6105.4109.1
opponent15.015.2106.8102.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI14.815.314.414.814.8
TOR17.213.518.311.414.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jimmy Butler78760.70-0.200.900.2017-102714.815.0-0.2115.811.14.68
Mike Dunleavy70680.64-0.140.780.0221-143514.814.9-0.1315.712.92.82
Pau Gasol70670.60-0.100.710.2811-41514.615.5-0.9315.812.63.20
Joakim Noah66630.300.200.100.0970715.214.11.1515.413.91.49
Kirk Hinrich55540.290.210.070.31-18-914.215.7-1.4913.017.2-4.15
Taj Gibson50510.280.220.070.1452314.814.9-0.1214.015.8-1.86
Derrick Rose56530.240.26-0.020.2116-516.213.03.2116.812.54.29
E'Twaun Moore110.010.49-0.480.0107-70.015.0-14.995.015.0-9.96
Aaron Brooks2122-0.160.66-0.820.07-815-2315.114.80.3911.615.8-4.23
Nikola Mirotic1011-0.190.69-0.870.08-916-2514.514.9-0.3810.115.5-5.38
Doug McDermott1314-0.210.71-0.920.05-916-2512.815.2-2.3811.115.5-4.34

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Hansbrough19190.01-0.510.53-0.073-101312.915.3-2.4412.915.3-2.41
Greivis Vasquez3332-0.06-0.440.39-0.112-91112.716.0-3.3313.015.7-2.68
James Johnson5254-0.19-0.310.12-0.16-1-6513.017.0-4.0514.315.5-1.20
Lou Williams3537-0.20-0.300.100.06-92-1113.315.8-2.5113.415.7-2.26
Jonas Valanciunas4545-0.26-0.24-0.030.06-114-1516.813.13.6614.914.80.18
Patrick Patterson4850-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.07-70-714.415.4-1.0015.114.60.50
Terrence Ross6364-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.331-8915.413.81.5315.513.61.82
DeMar DeRozan6465-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.29-2-5315.613.32.3115.313.81.49
Amir Johnson5758-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.23-70-715.813.52.3515.314.11.16
Kyle Lowry6466-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.32-4-3-115.812.92.8815.713.02.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.23,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 109, ATL 920.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.31,0.34,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.2%
PHX 128, NYK 1100.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.27,0.23,0.11,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.1%
HOU 115, SAC 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.63,0.71,0.58,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,093.9%