NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	115		Excitement	4.9 [851]		MVP	Metta World Peace (HOU): +22.4%
Sacramento Kings	98		Comeback	2.4 [827]		LVP	Andres Nocioni (SAC): -8.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.06	-0.01	18	67%	0.22	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
Shane Battier	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	17	59%	0.12	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Carl Landry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Von Wafer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.02	0.05	10	65%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.04	-0.03	17	61%	0.16	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	12	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	15	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	4	25%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	13	57%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.04	0.07	10	63%	0.02	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	27.3	15.4	24.8	0.7	27.6	119.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +36.1%

HOU +0.3%

HOU +2.8%

HOU +11.4%

SAC -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	15.5	15.0	15.5	121.1	104.3	106.4
season	16.3	15.0		105.9	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.2		112.7	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.0	15.0	15.2	16.8	15.5
SAC	14.4	14.4	16.8	14.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	66	65	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	2	13	15.6	15.2	0.40	15.2	14.4	0.78
Shane Battier	71	70	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	7	3	15.1	16.7	-1.58	15.6	13.1	2.50
Von Wafer	46	45	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	3	11	15.8	15.2	0.54	14.0	15.9	-1.98
Carl Landry	37	37	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	5	7	15.6	15.4	0.14	14.5	15.3	-0.78
Aaron Brooks	54	53	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.04	14	3	11	15.4	15.6	-0.18	15.1	14.9	0.20
Metta World Peace	71	71	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	12	-7	15.7	14.7	0.98	15.1	14.7	0.45
Luis Scola	68	67	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	19	-21	15.5	15.4	0.16	14.8	15.4	-0.64
Kyle Lowry	43	43	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.10	8	9	-1	15.5	15.4	0.09	14.7	15.2	-0.45
Brian Cook	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	12	-7	14.5	15.5	-1.01	12.0	15.1	-3.05
Charles Hayes	17	17	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.17	4	13	-9	14.8	15.6	-0.88	16.2	14.7	1.45

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashad McCants	35	37	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.08	-1	-16	15	13.6	15.8	-2.21	15.4	15.5	-0.13
Donte Greene	45	46	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-15	13	14.4	15.5	-1.13	16.0	15.0	0.96
Bobby Jackson	33	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.13	-11	-6	-5	14.5	15.2	-0.73	15.1	15.7	-0.64
Beno Udrih	61	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-11	5	15.2	14.5	0.73	15.7	15.1	0.64
Spencer Hawes	86	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	0	-17	15.1	14.1	0.94	15.3	17.1	-1.81
Francisco Garcia	78	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	-3	-11	15.6	12.0	3.60	15.4	15.9	-0.56
Andres Nocioni	68	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	-2	-13	15.0	15.0	0.04	15.6	15.3	0.24
Jason Thompson	64	65	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.05	-19	2	-21	15.3	14.3	0.96	15.5	15.5	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.63,0.71,0.58,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 112, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
POR 87, UTA 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
NOK 114, MEM 103	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%