inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 109 Excitement4.7 [889] MVPArron Afflalo (ORL): +23.2%
Atlanta Hawks 92 Comeback2.8 [165] LVPKyle Korver (ATL): -9.7%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Arron Afflalo0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.160.06-0.011865%0.261-0.034100%0.02
E'Twaun Moore0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.02-0.02871%0.141-0.031100%0.01
Andrew Nicholson0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.150.010.061178%0.1000.001100%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.030.00763%0.0900.00580%0.02
Victor Oladipo0.050,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.110.010.071172%0.051-0.003100%0.01
Solomon Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Doron Lamb0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Kyle O'Quinn0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ronnie Price0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Maurice Harkless-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.02337%-0.0210.00250%-0.01
Glen Davis-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.03-0.04940%-0.013-0.062100%0.01
Jameer Nelson-0.100,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.130.01-0.031133%-0.034-0.07250%-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Horford0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.070.03-0.041068%0.151-0.01250%-0.01
Cartier Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.01-0.01387%0.071-0.012100%0.00
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00560%0.0300.0000%0.00
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.02-0.01850%0.0200.002100%0.01
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041100%0.0000.002100%0.00
John Jenkins00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pero Antic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.040.000.04275%-0.0000.00475%-0.00
Louis Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.010.02955%0.021-0.032100%0.02
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.01759%0.064-0.10367%-0.00
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.00629%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.05-0.011154%0.064-0.136100%0.03
Gustavo Ayon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.020.00517%-0.0800.002100%0.00
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.02-0.03625%-0.013-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.41.632.114.824.32.427.6125.2
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +25.7%
ORL +8.9%
ORL +0.5%
ORL +14.8%
ATL -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLATLNBAORLATLNBA
this game15.015.015.1113.595.8105.2
season15.314.8100.4103.8
opponent15.315.0104.7105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL13.616.213.916.515.0
ATL16.413.214.915.615.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Nicholson52500.55-0.050.61-0.0019-22115.414.50.9714.315.7-1.38
Victor Oladipo57580.50-0.000.510.011701714.915.2-0.3015.414.41.05
Nikola Vucevic62620.480.020.460.041521313.517.8-4.2815.414.21.23
Jameer Nelson64630.390.110.28-0.081611513.817.3-3.4715.613.81.85
Arron Afflalo72710.360.140.230.01125714.616.2-1.6115.015.1-0.16
E'Twaun Moore60590.250.250.01-0.161431115.014.90.1314.915.2-0.26
Maurice Harkless21220.020.48-0.460.02017-1717.014.52.5013.215.5-2.30
Solomon Jones670.000.50-0.500.06-219-2118.314.83.5612.715.2-2.47
Doron Lamb990.000.50-0.500.12-421-2519.414.54.9013.615.1-1.59
Kyle O'Quinn990.000.50-0.500.12-421-2519.414.54.9013.615.1-1.59
Ronnie Price670.000.50-0.500.06-219-2118.314.83.5612.715.2-2.47
Glen Davis6263-0.070.57-0.63-0.18413-915.314.50.7715.813.52.22

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shelvin Mack15150.05-0.550.60-0.012-192114.315.1-0.7919.314.25.06
Al Horford54560.03-0.530.570.09-2-151315.514.31.2314.415.8-1.37
John Jenkins760.00-0.500.50-0.062-192112.715.2-2.4718.314.83.56
Dennis Schroder109-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-222714.415.1-0.6719.414.54.90
Pero Antic1312-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-212514.015.2-1.1618.314.53.81
DeMarre Carroll4648-0.02-0.480.45-0.051-181915.814.31.5414.915.1-0.25
Mike Scott2928-0.14-0.360.210.03-6-11514.415.2-0.7916.514.42.12
Kyle Korver6363-0.25-0.250.010.13-13-4-915.613.81.8514.216.5-2.22
Jeff Teague6364-0.35-0.15-0.200.21-192-2115.414.21.2513.617.7-4.12
Paul Millsap5456-0.36-0.14-0.210.08-15-2-1315.514.31.2313.517.0-3.51
Cartier Martin3333-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.03-13-4-914.915.0-0.0915.914.51.39
Louis Williams5150-0.520.02-0.54-0.05-16-1-1513.616.6-2.9314.815.3-0.50
Gustavo Ayon4240-0.530.03-0.57-0.09-15-2-1314.315.5-1.2315.814.41.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.31,0.34,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 100, TOR 930.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.23,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,094.2%
HOU 115, SAC 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.63,0.71,0.58,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,093.9%
CHI 109, ORL 910.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.27,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,093.5%