NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	109		Excitement	5.6 [679]		MVP	Jannero Pargo (CHI): +7.5%
Orlando Magic	91		Comeback	2.7 [205]		LVP	Drew Gooden (ORL): -20.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jannero Pargo	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	20	57%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Linton Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0.00	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	18	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Ronald Dupree	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.05	7	69%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.12	-0.01	0.13	18	67%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Eddie Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.01	10	52%	0.00	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	8	0%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.03	20	59%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Steven Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reece Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Britton Johnsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.04	-0.05	12	37%	-0.06	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.06	0.06	20	51%	-0.08	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.07	0.00	17	39%	-0.08	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	25.4	16.3	27.3	2.4	25.8	123.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +25.1%

CHI +2.6%

ORL -5.5%

CHI +25.5%

CHI +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ORL	NBA	CHI	ORL	NBA
this game	14.0	16.2	15.7	113.5	95.8	100.5
season	15.2	15.7		94.6	100.9
opponent	15.4	15.4		108.2	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.2	13.8	12.4	15.6	14.0
ORL	15.8	16.2	16.4	16.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	84	82	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.00	23	-5	28	13.8	15.5	-1.73	16.0	17.3	-1.31
Jannero Pargo	84	83	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.06	19	-1	20	14.0	13.7	0.37	16.1	16.7	-0.65
Linton Johnson	55	54	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.00	16	2	14	12.7	15.7	-2.91	16.2	16.1	0.06
Antonio Davis	64	67	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	8	2	14.2	13.5	0.78	16.0	16.7	-0.71
Eddy Curry	71	71	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	11	-4	14.0	13.9	0.15	16.3	15.9	0.35
Marcus Fizer	48	45	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	5	8	14.2	13.8	0.40	16.5	15.9	0.67
Eddie Robinson	24	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	18	-18	13.8	14.0	-0.21	16.2	16.2	-0.02
Ronald Dupree	50	49	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.11	2	16	-14	15.1	12.7	2.40	16.4	15.9	0.52

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	37	37	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-22	26	16.1	16.2	-0.07	14.6	13.6	1.03
Zaza Pachulia	17	18	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-22	26	14.2	16.6	-2.37	13.2	14.2	-1.01
Juwan Howard	75	73	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.15	-4	-14	10	16.3	15.7	0.54	15.1	10.3	4.79
Steven Hunter	3	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-14	10	19.3	16.1	3.26	11.2	14.1	-2.86
Britton Johnsen	14	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-13	8	16.7	16.1	0.63	11.8	14.4	-2.58
Tyronn Lue	69	70	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.15	-9	-9	0	16.3	15.9	0.41	14.8	11.8	2.94
DeShawn Stevenson	76	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-6	-6	15.4	19.3	-3.86	14.2	13.1	1.15
Reece Gaines	26	26	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	-8	-2	16.0	16.2	-0.25	11.8	14.8	-3.05
Keith Bogans	60	61	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	-1	-16	16.7	15.2	1.50	13.9	14.1	-0.15
Drew Gooden	75	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.03	-19	1	-20	16.2	16.2	-0.09	14.0	14.0	-0.01
Sean Rooks	23	22	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.01	-18	0	-18	17.6	15.7	1.89	11.2	14.8	-3.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.27,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 87, UTA 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
MEM 95, GSW 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%
ATL 93, MEM 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.56,0.41,0.27,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.16,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	93.6%