NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	120		Excitement	6.0 [646]		MVP	Jaxson Hayes (NOP): +26.1%
Houston Rockets	107		Comeback	3.8 [605]		LVP	Jalen Green (HOU): -10.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaxson Hayes	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.19	0.07	-0.00	10	81%	0.26	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Brandon Ingram	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.11	0.03	21	65%	0.29	4	-0.09	9	67%	-0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	7	56%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Josh Hart	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	8	65%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jose Alvarado	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.02	8	56%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.01	0.04	10	60%	0.06	2	-0.06	10	70%	-0.01
Herbert Jones	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	82%	0.08	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.02
Naji Marshall	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.13	-0.00	15	65%	0.28	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.07	-0.02	11	75%	0.21	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.02	6	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Christopher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	10	62%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	36%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Armoni Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	0.05	14	56%	-0.01	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	28.2	14.5	28.4	1.7	33.0	132.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +21.5%

NOP +22.4%

HOU -3.7%

NOP +9.3%

NOP +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	HOU	NBA	NOP	HOU	NBA
this game	14.1	15.4	14.5	122.4	110.3	110.8
season	14.7	14.4		110.9	107.5
opponent	13.9	14.6		115.7	112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.6	14.5	12.8	15.6	14.1
HOU	15.8	16.8	16.0	13.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Alvarado	34	33	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-3	19	14.1	14.1	-0.08	15.7	15.3	0.45
Brandon Ingram	71	71	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-3	19	14.1	14.1	0.05	15.8	14.4	1.38
Jaxson Hayes	56	53	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.07	14	-1	15	14.7	13.3	1.36	15.6	15.2	0.46
Herbert Jones	62	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	-1	15	14.2	14.0	0.13	15.5	15.4	0.05
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	37	37	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	9	-5	14.6	13.8	0.86	15.9	15.1	0.83
Gary Clark	27	25	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	6	1	12.6	14.7	-2.10	13.8	16.0	-2.15
Josh Hart	75	73	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	8	-3	13.6	15.8	-2.24	15.1	16.6	-1.53
Jonas Valanciunas	53	56	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	15	-17	14.4	13.8	0.62	16.4	14.1	2.23
Devonte' Graham	64	64	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	16	-19	14.1	14.1	0.08	15.3	15.7	-0.45
Naji Marshall	1	1	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	15	-17	0.0	14.3	-14.26	6.0	15.5	-9.53
Trey Murphy III	10	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	17	-21	16.4	13.9	2.55	12.1	15.8	-3.72

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Porter Jr.	69	68	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.08	3	-16	19	15.3	15.8	-0.55	14.4	13.5	0.83
Josh Christopher	45	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-9	5	16.1	14.9	1.18	13.6	14.6	-0.95
Kenyon Martin Jr.	34	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-12	11	15.6	15.3	0.28	14.7	13.8	0.91
Jae'Sean Tate	66	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-1	-11	15.3	15.6	-0.26	14.0	14.2	-0.19
Christian Wood	72	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-2	-9	15.2	16.0	-0.71	14.3	13.6	0.77
Alperen Sengun	50	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-4	-5	16.4	14.4	2.08	13.1	15.3	-2.26
Jalen Green	68	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	0	-13	14.9	16.8	-1.89	14.0	14.5	-0.50
Armoni Brooks	20	22	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-5	-3	17.5	14.9	2.60	14.6	14.0	0.68
Garrison Mathews	61	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	-3	-7	14.5	17.1	-2.58	14.6	13.4	1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.22,0.13,0.22,0.25,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 117, NJN 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.7%
CHI 112, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%
DET 109, BKN 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.27,0.29,0.19,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.02,0,0	93.3%