NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	110		Excitement	10.1 [64]		MVP	Damian Jones (SAC): +95.4%
Indiana Pacers	109		Comeback	18.8 [88]		LVP	Donte DiVincenzo (SAC): -28.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Jones	0.95	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.95	0.10	0.88	0.03	6	86%	0.97	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Davion Mitchell	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.3,0.15,0.23	0.14	0.11	0.02	15	76%	0.44	3	-0.21	3	100%	0.02
Jeremy Lamb	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.10	-0.00	8	59%	0.16	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Chimezie Metu	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	-0.03	0.00	11	85%	0.23	3	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00
Alex Len	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	56%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	11	48%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Trey Lyles	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.14	0.04	-0.18	0.00	10	55%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	6	25%	-0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.29	-0.06	-0.23	-0.00	11	41%	-0.24	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.08

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.08	0.03	12	80%	0.24	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Terry Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.12	-0.00	8	72%	0.23	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.05
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.03	8	62%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.23,0.14,-0.05	-0.05	0.09	-0.12	0.01	18	69%	0.24	4	-0.28	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	14	41%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Duane Washington Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	10	50%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	26.2	14.6	22.5	2.3	32.1	125.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +87.2%

IND -13.0%

IND -31.1%

IND -2.8%

SAC +9.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	IND	NBA	SAC	IND	NBA
this game	15.0	13.7	14.5	108.9	109.0	110.8
season	14.0	14.4		109.2	111.4
opponent	14.7	14.6		115.0	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.6	14.6	15.4	16.6	15.0
IND	13.0	14.2	12.3	15.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte DiVincenzo	64	63	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.37	13	-12	25	14.6	15.6	-1.07	14.4	12.4	2.07
Harrison Barnes	67	70	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.70	-4	5	-9	15.9	13.2	2.62	13.7	13.7	0.02
Alex Len	38	37	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.04	17	-16	33	13.6	15.8	-2.23	14.4	13.3	1.07
Trey Lyles	46	47	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.57	-5	6	-11	15.8	14.3	1.57	13.0	14.3	-1.36
Davion Mitchell	79	79	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.44	-10	11	-21	15.1	14.4	0.78	13.3	15.1	-1.85
Jeremy Lamb	44	41	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.18	10	-9	19	14.2	15.6	-1.40	14.1	13.4	0.71
Chimezie Metu	55	53	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.10	6	-5	11	14.3	15.8	-1.57	14.3	13.0	1.36
Damian Jones	63	63	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.48	-16	17	-33	15.8	13.6	2.23	13.3	14.4	-1.07
Justin Holiday	49	47	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.01	-6	7	-13	14.7	15.2	-0.50	12.9	14.3	-1.40

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Jackson	15	17	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-6	11	12.9	13.8	-0.88	12.6	15.5	-2.86
Oshae Brissett	69	68	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.22	5	-6	11	13.6	13.9	-0.28	15.0	15.0	-0.04
Goga Bitadze	60	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.10	-7	6	-13	14.0	13.2	0.80	15.6	13.9	1.69
Justin Anderson	64	66	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.34	7	-8	15	13.6	13.8	-0.20	15.2	14.6	0.57
Tyrese Haliburton	78	78	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.46	10	-11	21	13.3	15.0	-1.69	15.3	13.9	1.37
Lance Stephenson	29	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	10	-21	14.3	13.4	0.84	14.5	15.2	-0.70
Buddy Hield	79	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.48	-1	0	-1	13.7	13.5	0.26	14.9	15.1	-0.15
Duane Washington Jr.	44	45	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.23	-13	12	-25	13.9	13.5	0.41	14.8	15.1	-0.27
Terry Taylor	62	60	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.64	0	-1	1	13.7	13.7	-0.01	14.8	15.3	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.42,0.43,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.66,0.48,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.55,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 98, MIN 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.76,0.63,0.78,0.59,0	90.1%
NOH 85, PHX 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.72,0	89.9%
LAL 109, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.54,0.68,0.63,0	89.6%