NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	120		Excitement	10.7 [47]		MVP	Aleksej Pokusevski (OKC): +69.9%
San Antonio Spurs	122		Comeback	2.9 [580]		LVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): -17.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aleksej Pokusevski	0.70	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.27,0.27,0.7	0.11	0.58	-0.00	7	76%	0.72	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.05
Darius Bazley	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.17	0.14	0.04	0.01	16	69%	0.20	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Vit Krejci	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	6	67%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Olivier Sarr	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.00	3	133%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Roby	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Theo Maledon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Wiggins	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	9	45%	-0.01	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Lindy Waters III	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	4	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.16,0.02,-0.18	0.14	-0.28	0.03	22	65%	0.01	3	-0.19	8	62%	-0.06

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.63	0.63	0.01	0.57	-0.04	18	48%	0.65	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.12	-0.01	10	71%	0.26	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.07	0.07	0.13	-0.06	0.01	16	65%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	15	53%	0.06	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.19,0.19,0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.13	-0.03	18	59%	0.15	3	-0.18	8	100%	0.04
Joshua Primo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.01	5	55%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.5	25.5	14.7	28.2	2.4	29.6	132.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +16.6%

OKC -13.6%

SAS +29.6%

SAS +16.3%

SAS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	SAS	NBA	OKC	SAS	NBA
this game	13.5	14.6	14.5	117.6	118.4	110.8
season	14.4	13.9		103.2	111.3
opponent	14.6	14.4		111.0	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.3	12.9	14.2	12.8	13.5
SAS	12.9	14.8	15.2	15.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olivier Sarr	39	40	0.40	-0.90	1.29	0.25	5	-7	12	13.3	13.7	-0.33	14.2	14.7	-0.50
Aleksej Pokusevski	57	59	0.30	-0.80	1.11	0.07	8	-10	18	12.6	14.7	-2.02	14.3	14.9	-0.54
Tre Mann	63	64	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.37	-6	4	-10	13.7	13.3	0.46	15.1	13.7	1.34
Lindy Waters III	26	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-3	4	13.5	13.5	-0.00	14.8	14.5	0.33
Isaiah Roby	28	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	12	-26	15.1	12.9	2.21	15.3	14.3	1.01
Vit Krejci	44	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.75	16	-18	34	12.6	14.3	-1.71	14.4	14.7	-0.31
Theo Maledon	55	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.80	14	-16	30	13.2	13.9	-0.66	14.4	14.7	-0.35
Darius Bazley	69	71	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.41	-7	5	-12	13.8	13.0	0.75	14.3	15.1	-0.74
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	73	74	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.39	-8	6	-14	13.7	13.2	0.46	14.1	15.6	-1.44
Aaron Wiggins	56	55	-1.10	0.60	-1.70	-0.54	-19	17	-36	14.2	12.8	1.42	15.1	13.9	1.15

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dejounte Murray	78	76	1.00	-0.50	1.49	0.44	19	-17	36	14.1	16.0	-1.96	14.2	11.7	2.43
Devin Vassell	69	68	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.49	13	-11	24	14.6	14.5	0.08	14.0	12.6	1.38
Keldon Johnson	73	74	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.34	12	-10	22	14.8	13.9	0.87	13.8	12.8	0.99
Lonnie Walker IV	50	48	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.44	1	1	0	14.1	15.0	-0.88	12.8	14.2	-1.41
Zach Collins	33	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	2	-2	13.6	15.0	-1.35	12.9	13.8	-0.97
Joshua Primo	44	45	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.57	-19	21	-40	14.7	14.4	0.34	11.9	14.9	-2.99
Jakob Poeltl	61	60	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.24	5	-3	8	15.0	13.9	1.10	14.0	12.8	1.20
Josh Richardson	59	59	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	6	-10	14.8	14.2	0.57	14.3	12.6	1.70
Jock Landale	9	9	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	8	-14	14.9	14.5	0.37	14.0	13.5	0.51
Tre Jones	39	39	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.03	-11	13	-24	15.0	14.3	0.68	12.5	14.2	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.71,0.83,0.73,0.47,0.53,0.66,0.75,0.54,0.47,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 112, HOU 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.75,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.72,0.34,0.28,1	90.9%
OKC 110, LAC 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.84,1	90.8%
IND 94, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.68,0.71,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.73,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.69,0.54,0.32,0.42,1	90.3%