NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	112		Excitement	9.5 [100]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +125.2%
Houston Rockets	113		Comeback	9.7 [192]		LVP	Terrence Jones (HOU): -18.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0.39	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.15,0.15,0.39	0.02	0.36	-0.00	19	43%	0.39	0	0.00	6	83%	0.10
Trevor Ariza	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13	0.24	-0.05	0.06	20	80%	0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	0.00	12	64%	0.22	2	-0.13	9	33%	-0.07
Trevor Booker	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Otto Porter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	24	42%	0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,1.25	1.25	0.22	1.06	0.03	14	80%	1.33	4	-0.08	16	100%	0.20
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	4	79%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.02	9	71%	0.24	7	-0.24	16	62%	-0.06
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	15	53%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.00	8	80%	0.17	5	-0.19	4	75%	-0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	7	27%	-0.04	2	-0.15	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	0.8	35.2	15.6	27.4	2.6	38.2	146.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +86.7%

HOU +7.9%

HOU +4.6%

WAS -54.1%

HOU +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	HOU	NBA	WAS	HOU	NBA
this game	15.1	13.7	15.1	110.9	114.1	105.2
season	15.1	14.3		103.8	109.5
opponent	15.2	15.5		105.4	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.7	15.7	15.1	14.9	15.1
HOU	15.3	13.7	12.6	13.3	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otto Porter	16	15	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.02	7	-8	15	13.1	15.5	-2.35	10.5	14.3	-3.80
Jan Vesely	11	9	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.08	8	-9	17	18.3	14.7	3.56	16.0	13.5	2.54
Nene	61	62	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.31	-6	5	-11	15.4	14.6	0.87	13.9	13.4	0.45
Martell Webster	20	18	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-3	5	17.1	14.6	2.50	14.8	13.4	1.40
Trevor Booker	42	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.25	5	-6	11	15.0	15.2	-0.21	13.8	13.6	0.22
Marcin Gortat	59	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	7	-15	14.7	15.6	-0.89	12.9	15.1	-2.18
Kevin Seraphin	27	25	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.43	0	-1	1	15.0	15.1	-0.14	14.8	13.3	1.49
Trevor Ariza	87	87	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.32	-7	6	-13	15.0	15.8	-0.80	13.8	12.7	1.16
Bradley Beal	74	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.51	-2	1	-3	15.6	13.7	1.90	14.3	11.9	2.42
John Wall	89	87	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.40	-6	5	-11	14.7	18.3	-3.67	13.4	15.5	-2.06
Garrett Temple	19	17	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.67	2	-3	5	13.8	15.4	-1.55	12.4	14.0	-1.54

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	78	81	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.34	16	-15	31	13.0	16.2	-3.24	14.9	15.8	-0.87
Chandler Parsons	75	75	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.32	16	-15	31	13.9	13.0	0.85	15.9	12.8	3.14
Francisco Garcia	38	43	0.69	-0.19	0.87	1.01	-11	12	-23	13.8	13.6	0.21	13.7	16.1	-2.36
James Harden	85	86	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	1	-1	13.4	15.1	-1.70	14.8	17.0	-2.23
Jeremy Lin	77	79	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.36	1	0	1	13.4	14.8	-1.40	14.9	15.8	-0.92
Aaron Brooks	22	22	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	1	-1	14.8	13.4	1.40	15.8	14.9	0.92
Donatas Motiejunas	35	37	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	5	-9	13.1	14.0	-0.97	15.6	14.8	0.78
Omer Asik	21	20	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	0.13	-15	16	-31	16.2	13.0	3.24	15.8	14.9	0.87
Terrence Jones	64	62	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.38	2	-1	3	14.0	13.1	0.97	15.2	14.9	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.75,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.72,0.34,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 85, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.92,0.84,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.72,0.57,0.58,1	90.9%
CLE 90, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.45,0.55,0.23,0.41,1	89.0%
POR 117, TOR 119	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.37,0.55,0.17,1	88.8%