NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	117		Excitement	9.5 [129]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (TOR): +90.2%
Toronto Raptors	119		Comeback	5.0 [334]		LVP	Zach Collins (POR): -15.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.69	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.49,0.69	0.12	0.57	-0.01	17	60%	0.71	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.05
Jusuf Nurkic	0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.01,0.11,0.22,0.22	0.02	0.20	0.01	4	83%	0.29	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.05
CJ McCollum	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.1	0.23	-0.09	0.04	20	80%	0.20	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Maurice Harkless	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	9	55%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Jake Layman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.02	10	57%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Meyers Leonard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	6	21%	-0.08	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Zach Collins	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.52,0.52,0.9	0.90	0.25	0.66	0.01	22	73%	0.95	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.10
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.32	0.32	0.10	0.23	0.01	5	110%	0.35	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.09	0.02	13	68%	0.35	3	-0.21	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	13	70%	0.19	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	67%	0.09	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	3.3	25.7	15.0	26.0	3.4	38.6	139.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +71.8%

POR -12.6%

POR -22.7%

TOR +10.1%

TOR +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	TOR	NBA	POR	TOR	NBA
this game	14.3	13.8	14.3	112.5	117.8	109.3
season	14.9	14.3		112.6	111.5
opponent	14.5	13.9		105.9	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.2	15.1	15.4	11.0	14.3
TOR	12.6	14.3	14.0	14.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Curry	41	38	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.11	12	-14	26	13.0	15.1	-2.06	15.7	12.6	3.12
Zach Collins	24	22	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.10	9	-11	20	10.5	15.4	-4.99	15.8	13.2	2.53
Rodney Hood	49	45	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.14	6	-8	14	12.2	16.2	-4.00	15.3	12.6	2.70
Jake Layman	61	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.46	11	-13	24	12.3	17.1	-4.80	14.9	12.2	2.72
Meyers Leonard	39	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	6	-14	16.6	12.9	3.71	12.6	14.5	-1.85
Al-Farouq Aminu	43	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.01	-13	11	-24	17.1	12.3	4.80	12.2	14.9	-2.72
Jusuf Nurkic	41	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.32	-3	1	-4	14.3	14.3	0.07	13.8	13.8	-0.01
CJ McCollum	87	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	3	-8	14.5	13.4	1.13	13.4	15.9	-2.44
Maurice Harkless	56	56	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.31	-10	8	-18	15.9	12.4	3.46	12.6	15.3	-2.70
Damian Lillard	79	78	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.43	-9	7	-16	14.9	12.3	2.60	13.2	15.7	-2.41

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	69	70	1.14	-0.64	1.78	0.46	23	-21	44	12.4	16.7	-4.28	15.2	12.5	2.63
Pascal Siakam	75	77	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.28	19	-17	36	12.6	17.3	-4.73	14.8	12.8	2.05
Kawhi Leonard	73	75	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.35	14	-12	26	12.7	16.7	-4.04	15.0	12.6	2.37
Danny Green	49	50	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.32	13	-11	24	12.8	14.8	-2.01	15.5	13.2	2.24
Kyle Lowry	87	88	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.39	6	-4	10	13.4	16.4	-2.98	14.5	13.4	1.09
Jeremy Lin	34	35	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.17	-10	12	-22	15.6	12.9	2.80	13.7	14.6	-0.97
Norman Powell	34	37	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.14	-11	13	-24	15.3	13.0	2.31	13.8	14.6	-0.71
OG Anunoby	27	29	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.18	-14	16	-30	17.2	12.6	4.63	13.0	14.8	-1.75
Serge Ibaka	32	34	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.18	-18	20	-38	16.7	12.4	4.28	12.5	15.2	-2.63
Patrick McCaw	25	25	-0.61	1.11	-1.73	-0.26	-12	14	-26	15.9	13.1	2.83	10.8	15.4	-4.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.37,0.55,0.17,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 106, WAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.94,0.85,0.73,0.76,0.46,0.57,0.28,1	90.3%
UTA 106, OKC 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.81,0.54,0.32,0.16,1	90.1%
CLE 80, IND 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.61,0.37,0.22,0.42,1	89.8%