NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	9.1 [161]		MVP	Christian Wood (DET): +19.6%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	7.1 [186]		LVP	Malcolm Brogdon (IND): -37.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.04	0.02	11	67%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	18	51%	0.05	1	0.00	5	80%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Edmond Sumner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	7	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Doug McDermott	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Warren	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.2	-0.03	-0.17	0.01	22	43%	-0.07	1	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	-0.37	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.37	-0.07	-0.30	-0.00	17	39%	-0.30	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.03	-0.00	10	95%	0.23	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.18	0.09	11	61%	0.18	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.02
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	110%	0.18	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	80%	0.10	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	15	55%	0.14	6	-0.17	3	67%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	9	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.44,-0.44,-0.35	-0.35	-0.17	-0.17	-0.00	16	29%	-0.14	4	-0.21	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	28.4	14.7	24.6	2.4	34.2	129.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +88.0%

IND -8.0%

IND -20.7%

IND -35.9%

DET +26.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	14.4	15.5	14.2	95.9	101.1	109.6
season	14.4	15.1		108.7	108.3
opponent	14.2	14.4		111.7	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.3	14.3	15.7	13.3	14.4
DET	14.5	17.0	15.7	15.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Edmond Sumner	57	54	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-6	10	14.5	14.2	0.28	16.4	14.4	1.96
T.J. McConnell	27	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.06	-1	-1	0	14.1	14.5	-0.39	16.7	15.0	1.69
Doug McDermott	27	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-2	2	13.7	14.6	-0.95	15.8	15.4	0.36
TJ Leaf	24	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	5	-12	14.2	14.4	-0.20	14.6	15.8	-1.23
Domantas Sabonis	78	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.43	6	-8	14	14.7	13.0	1.64	16.1	13.4	2.73
T.J. Warren	79	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.41	0	-2	2	14.3	14.5	-0.14	15.5	15.6	-0.12
Malcolm Brogdon	71	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.39	-1	-1	0	14.5	14.1	0.39	15.0	16.7	-1.69
Myles Turner	80	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.40	-2	0	-2	14.5	13.9	0.57	15.2	16.9	-1.74
Justin Holiday	47	48	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.43	-9	7	-16	14.0	14.7	-0.69	14.5	16.5	-1.99

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kennard	60	64	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-8	18	15.9	14.8	1.07	15.1	13.0	2.08
Andre Drummond	76	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	-1	4	15.6	15.2	0.37	14.6	13.4	1.14
Tony Snell	43	46	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.46	0	2	-2	15.3	15.7	-0.33	14.1	14.6	-0.51
Derrick Rose	52	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	4	-6	14.4	16.8	-2.39	14.1	14.7	-0.57
Bruce Brown	55	57	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.38	-4	6	-10	14.6	16.7	-2.06	13.5	15.6	-2.15
Markieff Morris	50	54	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.40	-5	7	-12	16.0	15.0	0.96	14.9	13.7	1.14
Christian Wood	45	44	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	-5	12	15.0	16.0	-0.96	13.7	14.9	-1.14
Tim Frazier	43	43	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.10	3	-1	4	16.8	14.4	2.39	15.3	13.6	1.68
Langston Galloway	33	31	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	3	-4	16.1	15.2	0.85	14.1	14.5	-0.43
Thon Maker	19	22	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	2	-2	15.2	15.6	-0.37	12.3	14.9	-2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.68,0.71,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.73,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.69,0.54,0.32,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 80, IND 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.61,0.37,0.22,0.42,1	92.5%
MIA 76, CHA 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.37,0.22,0.42,1	92.5%
PHX 120, DEN 126	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.83,0.67,0.52,0.74,0.7,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.46,0.43,0.53,1	92.2%