NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	102		Excitement	10.0 [69]		MVP	Rudy Gobert (UTA): +17.9%
San Antonio Spurs	104		Comeback	28.9 [37]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -14.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.04	0.09	-0.05	3	81%	0.22	3	-0.04	10	90%	0.07
Jordan Clarkson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.00	14	55%	0.16	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.05
Hassan Whiteside	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	68%	0.11	2	-0.06	5	20%	-0.06
Rudy Gay	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.04	0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.15	0.06	-0.05	14	26%	-0.00	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Danuel House Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.02	8	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Trent Forrest	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	8	31%	-0.05	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.07,-0.15,-0.14	-0.01	-0.15	-0.02	23	52%	0.08	4	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	-0.00	0.17	-0.00	7	55%	0.23	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.17	0.17	-0.02	0.19	-0.00	10	38%	0.17	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	7	79%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Wieskamp	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.05,-0.15,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	11	54%	0.05	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.05
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	15	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Dejounte Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,0.02,0.09,0,0,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.07	0.04	23	47%	0.07	4	-0.11	12	67%	-0.02
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	1.7	25.3	14.4	31.4	2.3	46.5	150.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -8.9%

SAS +26.2%

SAS +17.4%

SAS +21.8%

UTA -6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAS	NBA	UTA	SAS	NBA
this game	15.1	13.3	14.5	101.0	102.0	110.8
season	14.8	13.9		115.1	111.3
opponent	14.6	14.7		111.0	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	12.4	18.0	14.8	16.2	15.1
SAS	12.9	15.5	13.5	11.5	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trent Forrest	39	37	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.05	1	-3	4	16.5	14.3	2.21	13.7	13.0	0.70
Rudy Gay	29	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	0	-2	14.1	15.5	-1.44	12.2	13.7	-1.45
Jordan Clarkson	53	55	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-5	8	14.2	16.2	-1.98	12.9	13.7	-0.87
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	14	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	4	-10	16.5	14.9	1.59	13.5	13.2	0.28
Hassan Whiteside	36	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-2	2	14.5	15.5	-0.93	13.1	13.3	-0.17
Mike Conley	64	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	0	-2	15.2	15.0	0.20	13.1	13.5	-0.35
Rudy Gobert	65	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	0	-2	15.5	14.5	0.93	13.3	13.1	0.17
Royce O'Neale	71	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.61	5	-7	12	15.1	15.1	0.04	13.4	13.0	0.37
Donovan Mitchell	74	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.56	2	-4	6	15.2	15.0	0.13	13.3	13.1	0.25
Danuel House Jr.	60	62	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.28	-9	7	-16	15.1	15.1	-0.03	13.7	12.5	1.16

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jakob Poeltl	57	56	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.49	11	-9	20	14.3	12.0	2.29	16.6	13.3	3.24
Josh Richardson	73	72	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.46	9	-7	16	13.7	12.2	1.42	15.0	15.5	-0.50
Dejounte Murray	80	80	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.49	8	-6	14	12.7	15.3	-2.63	15.2	15.0	0.16
Keldon Johnson	78	77	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.43	8	-6	14	13.2	13.4	-0.21	15.5	14.0	1.54
Lonnie Walker IV	63	62	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.49	0	2	-2	13.0	13.6	-0.63	14.5	16.1	-1.50
Joe Wieskamp	17	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	5	-8	14.0	13.1	0.89	15.3	15.1	0.24
Devin Vassell	58	57	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	8	-14	13.3	13.1	0.21	15.9	14.1	1.84
Jock Landale	15	16	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	6	-10	11.7	13.5	-1.78	12.7	15.6	-2.90
Tre Jones	27	28	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.06	-6	8	-14	13.3	13.2	0.11	14.1	15.5	-1.46
Zach Collins	42	42	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.13	-7	9	-16	12.8	13.6	-0.80	14.0	15.9	-1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.46,0.33,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 106, WAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.73,1	91.2%
MEM 92, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.15,0.37,0.33,0.73,1	90.8%
DET 98, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.16,0.27,1	90.7%