NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	106		Excitement	9.4 [107]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +39.3%
Washington Wizards	109		Comeback	6.8 [152]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -25.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.17	0.04	0.12	-0.02	18	55%	0.21	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Jon Leuer	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	7	87%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
TJ Warren	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.00	9	61%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.09	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.04	10	45%	0.10	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Alex Len	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Ronnie Price	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.11	0.01	-0.13	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.12	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.02	-0.12	-0.02	16	54%	0.03	5	-0.15	3	33%	-0.11
PJ Tucker	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.18,-0.18	-0.01	-0.16	0.01	6	60%	0.03	3	-0.21	3	67%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.39	0.39	0.18	0.21	-0.00	23	65%	0.46	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.06
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	12	69%	0.19	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	6	86%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Otto Porter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.07	-0.01	12	52%	0.27	5	-0.25	1	100%	0.03
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Kelly Oubre	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	7	17%	-0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19,-0.25,-0.27,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.09	-0.17	-0.00	13	53%	0.11	7	-0.37	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.0	28.0	15.8	24.2	1.8	44.2	139.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +8.9%

WAS +21.3%

WAS +20.3%

PHX -6.5%

WAS +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	WAS	NBA	PHX	WAS	NBA
this game	14.9	14.2	14.9	108.2	109.0	105.1
season	14.4	13.8		100.9	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.4		104.6	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.7	16.2	15.7	15.0	14.9
WAS	16.0	12.6	16.3	12.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Leuer	42	45	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.06	10	-13	23	14.4	15.2	-0.79	17.0	11.9	5.14
Alex Len	27	29	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.03	6	-9	15	14.4	15.1	-0.65	18.9	12.3	6.64
PJ Tucker	73	77	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.38	9	-12	21	14.5	16.0	-1.45	15.2	11.0	4.18
TJ Warren	47	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.14	-9	6	-15	15.1	14.7	0.44	12.1	16.2	-4.15
Devin Booker	36	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	3	-9	14.4	15.1	-0.73	11.8	15.5	-3.72
Mirza Teletovic	17	16	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	6	-15	16.9	14.5	2.43	10.7	14.9	-4.21
Eric Bledsoe	70	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.47	6	-9	15	14.5	15.9	-1.37	15.4	11.4	3.95
Brandon Knight	76	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.52	-2	-1	-1	14.9	15.0	-0.10	15.0	11.7	3.33
Markieff Morris	61	61	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.39	-8	5	-13	15.0	14.7	0.24	11.9	17.8	-5.90
Ronnie Price	41	41	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.32	-12	9	-21	16.2	13.9	2.27	12.0	15.8	-3.85

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	72	72	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.35	15	-12	27	13.3	16.6	-3.37	15.6	12.9	2.66
Ramon Sessions	53	52	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.41	9	-6	15	12.1	16.7	-4.60	15.3	14.4	0.83
Otto Porter	76	74	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.50	1	2	-1	14.7	12.5	2.21	14.6	15.7	-1.16
John Wall	75	75	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.48	-1	4	-5	15.1	11.5	3.65	14.5	16.0	-1.41
Bradley Beal	77	76	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.47	-4	7	-11	15.2	10.8	4.46	14.6	15.9	-1.33
Kelly Oubre	7	7	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	0	3	8.9	14.6	-5.77	17.6	14.7	2.90
Ryan Hollins	24	23	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	4	-5	18.4	12.9	5.52	14.5	15.0	-0.46
Jared Dudley	50	47	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	7	-11	14.1	14.4	-0.28	14.7	15.1	-0.38
DeJuan Blair	22	21	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.11	-2	5	-7	14.5	14.1	0.36	14.2	15.1	-0.81
Gary Neal	44	43	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.14	-1	4	-5	12.7	15.4	-2.75	15.1	14.7	0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 91, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.72,1	91.5%
MEM 92, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.15,0.37,0.33,0.73,1	91.3%
TOR 86, NJN 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.45,0.28,0.24,0.58,1	91.2%