NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	112		Excitement	2.0 [408]		MVP	Raul Neto (WAS): +28.5%
Washington Wizards	113		Comeback	2.8 [509]		LVP	Kyle Kuzma (WAS): -13.6%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Thomas	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.21,0.16	0.19	-0.01	0.02	18	73%	0.21	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.02
Kyrie Irving	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	22	56%	0.15	3	-0.08	11	91%	0.05
James Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	8	59%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	8	44%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Bruce Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.04	9	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
David Duke Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raul Neto	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.29	0.29	0.14	0.15	0.00	9	87%	0.36	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.06
Anthony Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.04	0.00	7	79%	0.16	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	8	75%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	9	72%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.06	-0.01	10	54%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Cassius Winston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	3	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	11	57%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	13	23%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	15	47%	0.04	6	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.8	26.6	15.7	24.1	3.4	43.9	141.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +44.7%

WAS +4.4%

BKN -0.6%

BKN -0.3%

WAS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	WAS	NBA	BKN	WAS	NBA
this game	14.3	16.0	14.5	117.9	118.9	110.8
season	14.4	14.9		112.8	109.8
opponent	14.4	14.5		113.1	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.7	14.4	14.8	12.2	14.3
WAS	15.6	17.7	14.0	17.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kessler Edwards	44	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	2	-5	13.8	14.7	-0.83	15.1	16.8	-1.71
Blake Griffin	56	58	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.24	4	-5	9	12.7	16.6	-3.95	15.7	16.6	-0.88
Patty Mills	71	72	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.43	9	-10	19	13.5	16.6	-3.13	15.9	16.3	-0.42
Cam Thomas	75	74	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.38	7	-8	15	13.7	16.4	-2.68	15.8	16.9	-1.12
Bruce Brown	24	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	3	-7	17.0	13.4	3.63	18.0	15.3	2.67
Day'Ron Sharpe	33	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	2	-5	16.7	13.0	3.74	15.8	16.1	-0.34
Kyrie Irving	77	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-4	7	13.9	15.9	-2.05	15.9	16.7	-0.85
David Duke Jr.	19	19	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	6	-13	16.2	13.8	2.41	16.2	16.0	0.22
Jevon Carter	25	25	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	10	-21	15.8	13.8	2.00	16.5	15.9	0.66
James Johnson	51	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.47	0	-1	1	14.7	13.8	0.83	16.8	15.1	1.71

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Gill	51	52	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.41	6	-5	11	15.9	16.1	-0.20	14.4	14.1	0.31
Rui Hachimura	40	40	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-10	21	16.6	15.6	1.07	16.5	12.7	3.83
Kyle Kuzma	78	76	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.46	0	1	-1	15.3	19.5	-4.19	14.0	15.5	-1.55
Corey Kispert	60	58	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	-9	19	15.7	16.7	-0.99	14.6	13.8	0.82
Deni Avdija	58	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.48	-5	6	-11	16.8	14.9	1.87	15.0	13.0	1.97
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	67	66	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.35	-7	8	-15	15.7	16.9	-1.27	13.3	16.5	-3.21
Raul Neto	65	63	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.20	-6	7	-13	15.8	16.6	-0.83	13.2	16.5	-3.29
Thomas Bryant	39	39	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	2	-3	16.1	16.0	0.08	13.7	14.7	-0.96
Cassius Winston	17	19	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	4	-7	19.5	15.3	4.19	15.5	14.0	1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.94,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 83, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
MIA 75, TOR 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.77,0.83,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%
DET 99, LAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.64,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.9%