NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	99		Excitement	1.4 [870]		MVP	Nick Young (LAL): +21.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	114		Comeback	2.5 [368]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (DET): -19.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.01	12	69%	0.19	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	9	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06
Jonas Jerebko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Peyton Siva	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Harrellson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Mitchell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gigi Datome	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	16	50%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	14	47%	0.01	3	-0.07	8	12%	-0.08
Brandon Jennings	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.00	-0.07	0.13	22	49%	-0.15	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.10	0.01	13	66%	0.22	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.01	8	81%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	16	71%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	11	76%	0.12	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	6	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	13	46%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	7	56%	0.00	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.0	31.3	15.3	24.3	1.8	28.3	124.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +33.5%

LAL +17.4%

DET -4.2%

LAL +0.8%

LAL +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAL	NBA	DET	LAL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	15.1	104.2	117.5	105.2
season	15.0	14.0		104.7	102.9
opponent	14.8	15.0		108.9	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.0	14.0	18.6	13.1	15.1
LAL	13.3	15.4	14.8	16.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gigi Datome	11	13	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.14	10	-25	35	10.5	15.7	-5.16	17.4	14.5	2.87
Peyton Siva	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	19.0	15.1	3.94	9.0	15.0	-5.96
Josh Harrellson	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	19.0	15.1	3.94	11.5	15.0	-3.47
Tony Mitchell	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	19.0	15.1	3.94	11.5	15.0	-3.47
Brandon Jennings	77	79	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-14	13	14.9	16.1	-1.17	14.9	14.7	0.21
Jonas Jerebko	6	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-10	5	14.3	15.2	-0.82	15.7	14.8	0.88
Greg Monroe	75	76	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-10	5	14.7	16.8	-2.15	15.1	14.3	0.72
Rodney Stuckey	61	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-8	1	14.4	16.4	-1.99	15.1	14.6	0.46
Josh Smith	76	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-10	5	15.5	13.5	1.97	14.5	16.3	-1.77
Kyle Singler	42	41	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.12	-20	5	-25	15.1	15.1	0.02	13.6	15.9	-2.27
Andre Drummond	73	73	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.08	-16	1	-17	15.8	12.8	2.98	15.5	13.0	2.52
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	51	52	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	0.01	-22	7	-29	16.2	13.8	2.40	14.7	15.1	-0.32

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	54	53	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.09	13	2	11	15.1	14.7	0.40	14.7	15.6	-0.88
Jordan Farmar	27	27	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	2	11	14.8	14.9	-0.17	14.3	15.4	-1.08
Shawne Williams	42	41	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.17	10	5	5	14.5	15.2	-0.66	15.5	14.8	0.67
Xavier Henry	41	39	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.13	11	4	7	14.6	15.1	-0.54	15.1	15.1	0.04
Pau Gasol	66	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	0	15	15.2	14.3	0.94	15.8	13.5	2.34
Jordan Hill	75	72	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.09	12	3	9	14.9	14.8	0.10	14.5	17.1	-2.67
Jodie Meeks	56	56	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.07	4	11	-7	15.1	14.6	0.54	15.1	15.1	-0.04
Steve Blake	70	68	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	13	-11	14.9	14.8	0.17	15.4	14.3	1.08
Wesley Johnson	43	42	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	13	-11	14.7	15.1	-0.40	15.6	14.7	0.88
Chris Kaman	11	11	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	22	-29	14.4	15.0	-0.60	13.6	15.3	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.64,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 83, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%
TOR 85, LAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.63,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
DET 81, POR 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.95,1	93.5%