NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	85		Excitement	5.2 [764]		MVP	Tyronn Lue (LAL): +10.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	97		Comeback	2.6 [709]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -20.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eric Montross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.04	7	29%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	25	49%	-0.04	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Alvin Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	12	34%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Antonio Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	12	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.01	-0.04	4	100%	0.11	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.01	6	83%	0.09	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Penberthy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	56%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	19	57%	0.10	6	-0.18	6	50%	-0.03
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.27,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.27,-0.32,-0.3,-0.23,-0.17,-0.21,-0.2,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.17	-0.03	-0.00	34	39%	-0.13	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.7	30.8	19.8	25.2	3.5	28.5	133.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +35.3%

LAL +5.3%

LAL +32.8%

TOR -24.3%

LAL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAL	NBA	TOR	LAL	NBA
this game	16.5	15.7	15.5	95.5	107.8	100.9
season	15.8	15.6		103.7	106.8
opponent	15.2	15.4		101.8	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.0	17.5	16.8	15.6	16.5
LAL	15.3	16.8	13.7	17.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Oakley	49	47	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.18	13	-25	38	16.3	16.6	-0.28	15.8	15.6	0.16
Michael Stewart	6	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	10.8	16.9	-6.05	14.7	15.8	-1.05
Tracy Murray	13	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-16	20	14.7	16.8	-2.08	16.8	15.5	1.27
Morris Peterson	53	52	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-12	12	16.0	17.2	-1.17	15.0	16.7	-1.64
Jerome Williams	23	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-11	10	18.0	15.9	2.06	18.6	14.7	3.89
Eric Montross	14	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-7	2	15.4	16.7	-1.24	17.4	15.4	2.02
Alvin Williams	68	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-12	12	17.1	14.5	2.61	15.4	16.6	-1.21
Antonio Davis	60	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-9	6	16.5	16.4	0.09	14.5	18.2	-3.73
Chris Childs	36	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-2	-8	16.5	16.5	0.00	17.2	14.7	2.46
Dell Curry	18	20	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	1	-14	15.6	16.7	-1.08	15.5	15.8	-0.27
Vince Carter	68	68	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	4	-20	16.4	16.9	-0.50	15.3	16.9	-1.53
Keon Clark	37	37	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	0.13	-31	19	-50	17.8	15.6	2.20	15.8	15.7	0.08

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	50	49	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.01	19	-7	26	16.6	14.6	2.05	16.6	16.4	0.18
Brian Shaw	63	64	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.05	16	-4	20	15.4	16.5	-1.10	17.1	14.9	2.21
Kobe Bryant	72	71	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.13	9	3	6	15.4	16.8	-1.33	16.5	16.2	0.31
Tyronn Lue	44	42	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.01	13	-1	14	17.0	14.5	2.43	16.5	16.4	0.10
Horace Grant	54	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	6	0	15.1	16.6	-1.45	16.9	15.8	1.10
Rick Fox	55	57	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	5	2	15.1	16.6	-1.45	16.7	16.1	0.59
Devean George	20	18	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	13	-14	15.3	15.8	-0.53	15.7	16.7	-1.01
Mark Madsen	19	16	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.14	-3	15	-18	15.9	15.7	0.23	14.9	16.8	-1.95
Shaquille O'Neal	57	58	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	10	-8	15.4	16.2	-0.84	16.4	16.5	-0.07
Mike Penberthy	16	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.19	-8	20	-28	17.2	15.4	1.87	13.5	17.1	-3.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.63,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 83, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%
LAC 80, LAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
IND 84, ATL 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%