NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	84		Excitement	4.9 [824]		MVP	Troy Murphy (IND): +18.1%
Atlanta Hawks	94		Comeback	1.9 [961]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -15.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.02	-0.02	13	70%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Rush	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.02	0.03	9	78%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	8	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	9	32%	-0.03	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
A.J. Price	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	3	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.03	0.02	19	42%	-0.05	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	14	64%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.07	-0.04	13	45%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.02	-0.05	15	53%	0.12	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.03	-0.05	0.09	18	54%	-0.05	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.8	29.3	15.6	23.4	2.5	31.5	131.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +20.0%

ATL +3.5%

ATL +18.5%

ATL +10.1%

IND -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	16.5	15.3	91.3	104.4	106.0
season	14.2	16.0		102.2	109.4
opponent	15.8	15.1		106.0	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.8	13.6	17.5	13.2	15.2
ATL	17.5	15.8	15.2	17.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Murphy	65	65	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-10	10	15.8	13.7	2.05	17.9	13.0	4.86
Solomon Jones	36	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-15	20	13.1	16.4	-3.31	18.2	15.5	2.69
Dahntay Jones	26	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-15	20	13.5	15.8	-2.36	17.9	16.0	1.82
Josh McRoberts	26	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-6	2	12.4	16.2	-3.80	14.3	17.3	-2.91
Brandon Rush	53	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	-1	-8	16.3	13.6	2.76	17.0	15.8	1.13
A.J. Price	30	28	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-6	2	12.8	16.3	-3.49	15.7	16.9	-1.21
Earl Watson	62	62	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-4	-2	16.3	12.8	3.49	16.9	15.7	1.21
Roy Hibbert	43	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-3	-4	16.8	13.7	3.03	15.0	18.0	-2.93
Danny Granger	74	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.10	-14	4	-18	15.7	13.0	2.68	16.6	16.0	0.61
Mike Dunleavy	45	42	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.14	-16	6	-22	14.7	15.6	-0.95	14.3	18.4	-4.08

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	60	61	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.27	19	-9	28	15.4	18.7	-3.33	14.1	17.2	-3.13
Maurice Evans	38	40	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-4	18	14.1	18.3	-4.21	14.6	15.6	-0.93
Marvin Williams	50	50	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	1	8	17.4	15.4	2.05	16.8	13.2	3.57
Zaza Pachulia	28	27	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	-3	16	13.8	17.7	-3.96	14.8	15.3	-0.48
Joe Smith	11	12	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	4	2	11.0	17.3	-6.28	13.1	15.5	-2.38
Al Horford	56	58	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.19	-1	11	-12	17.6	14.7	2.85	15.9	13.9	2.06
Jeff Teague	20	23	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	10	-10	14.5	17.1	-2.59	12.0	16.2	-4.20
Mike Bibby	55	56	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.06	4	6	-2	17.9	14.3	3.69	16.0	13.9	2.12
Joe Johnson	61	62	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	10	-10	17.4	14.7	2.64	15.7	14.0	1.76
Mario West	7	7	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.08	-2	12	-14	16.6	16.5	0.07	10.1	15.6	-5.42
Jason Collins	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	19.2	16.3	2.85	10.1	15.6	-5.42
Josh Smith	58	57	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.07	-10	20	-30	17.9	13.9	4.04	16.1	13.6	2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 85, BOS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
CHA 85, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
MIN 84, DEN 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.69,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.92,0.98,1,1,1	94.6%