NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	85		Excitement	5.0 [835]		MVP	Davis Bertans (SAS): +29.9%
San Antonio Spurs	102		Comeback	2.0 [1005]		LVP	Ramon Sessions (CHA): -12.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Hibbert	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	71%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.04	13	58%	0.14	4	-0.11	5	80%	-0.02
Cody Zeller	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	5	64%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Treveon Graham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	12	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	9	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	10	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	10	25%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	6	21%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.25	0.11	0.06	6	105%	0.30	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.02	0.04	6	94%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	14	46%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	18	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	0.01	0.08	9	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	7	21%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	8	12%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.6	28.2	15.4	24.6	2.4	30.5	125.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +19.9%

SAS +5.3%

CHA -0.9%

SAS +25.6%

SAS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	SAS	NBA	CHA	SAS	NBA
this game	15.1	15.2	14.8	90.4	106.2	107.7
season	15.1	15.4		107.9	110.1
opponent	14.8	14.8		103.7	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.8	15.7	15.5	14.6	15.1
SAS	14.6	15.6	14.5	16.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	58	60	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-19	21	15.5	14.6	0.93	15.7	14.4	1.32
Treveon Graham	14	16	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.10	5	-22	27	14.8	15.2	-0.40	17.1	14.8	2.32
Cody Zeller	60	63	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-19	21	15.2	15.0	0.15	16.3	13.0	3.38
Brian Roberts	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-18	19	12.0	15.4	-3.38	18.6	14.9	3.75
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	59	59	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	-13	9	15.3	14.8	0.48	15.9	14.1	1.80
Marvin Williams	50	50	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-14	11	16.4	13.6	2.80	15.8	14.5	1.28
Jeremy Lamb	57	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	-4	-9	15.3	14.9	0.39	14.9	15.6	-0.60
Frank Kaminsky	44	46	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.07	-14	-3	-11	13.6	16.4	-2.80	14.5	15.8	-1.28
Roy Hibbert	34	33	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.03	-19	2	-21	15.0	15.2	-0.15	13.0	16.3	-3.38
Marco Belinelli	54	55	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.07	-16	-1	-15	14.5	16.0	-1.47	14.4	16.3	-1.89
Ramon Sessions	33	32	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	0.12	-26	9	-35	15.8	14.8	0.97	13.0	16.3	-3.33

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathon Simmons	41	40	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.12	15	2	13	13.8	16.3	-2.50	13.5	16.3	-2.79
Davis Bertans	38	38	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.02	19	-2	21	13.6	16.2	-2.58	14.3	15.7	-1.41
Patty Mills	40	40	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.11	13	4	9	13.0	16.8	-3.79	15.4	14.9	0.43
Manu Ginobili	43	41	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.07	19	-2	21	13.2	16.8	-3.58	15.7	14.7	1.07
Dewayne Dedmon	47	44	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	12	-7	14.4	16.0	-1.58	14.9	15.4	-0.50
Pau Gasol	39	40	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.07	5	12	-7	15.9	14.7	1.15	15.6	14.7	0.91
Tony Parker	48	47	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.14	5	12	-7	16.5	13.9	2.54	15.4	14.9	0.51
LaMarcus Aldridge	66	65	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.08	3	14	-11	16.1	13.1	2.99	15.4	14.4	1.03
Kyle Anderson	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	18.6	14.9	3.75	12.0	15.4	-3.38
Dejounte Murray	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	18.6	14.9	3.75	12.0	15.4	-3.38
Danny Green	39	38	-0.01	0.52	-0.53	-0.04	1	16	-15	16.9	14.0	2.84	15.7	14.7	1.02
Kawhi Leonard	63	63	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.09	2	15	-13	16.1	13.4	2.73	15.8	13.8	1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 82, IND 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.7,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
IND 84, ATL 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
LAC 80, LAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%