NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	104		Excitement	8.2 [249]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +59.2%
Golden State Warriors	113		Comeback	2.4 [775]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -21.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Anderson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	52%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.02
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.05	-0.03	12	61%	0.11	3	-0.08	9	78%	-0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	13	67%	0.17	4	-0.15	4	75%	-0.01
Xavier Tillman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ja Morant	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.05	-0.02	15	52%	0.14	3	-0.15	10	90%	0.03
John Konchar	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	15	43%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.59	0.59	0.35	0.29	0.05	22	82%	0.68	3	-0.09	12	100%	0.06
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.13	0.01	16	65%	0.25	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.06	-0.02	8	50%	0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Kevon Looney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Juan Toscano-Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.01	0.02	7	37%	0.03	5	-0.18	2	100%	0.00
Chris Chiozza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	5	-0.26	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.0	28.5	14.7	33.2	1.7	33.5	135.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +90.5%

MEM -12.8%

GSW +1.4%

MEM -24.6%

MEM -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	14.9	14.5	14.5	107.2	114.1	110.8
season	14.1	14.2		112.9	112.2
opponent	14.9	14.3		106.7	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.1	16.8	14.4	14.5	14.9
GSW	14.7	13.9	14.4	14.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Anderson	37	37	0.34	-0.84	1.19	0.11	8	-17	25	15.1	14.8	0.34	15.5	13.9	1.59
Xavier Tillman	38	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-6	3	16.6	13.9	2.71	14.6	14.3	0.29
Tyus Jones	31	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-5	1	17.1	13.9	3.24	14.6	14.4	0.19
Desmond Bane	62	66	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-11	13	14.0	16.6	-2.57	13.9	15.5	-1.58
De'Anthony Melton	50	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-5	1	14.5	15.4	-0.84	15.5	13.4	2.09
Steven Adams	48	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-5	1	14.5	15.3	-0.85	14.1	14.8	-0.68
John Konchar	22	22	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	0	-9	17.7	14.1	3.56	13.4	14.8	-1.36
Ja Morant	66	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-4	-1	13.9	17.1	-3.24	14.4	14.6	-0.19
Jaren Jackson Jr.	59	61	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.25	-12	3	-15	15.0	14.8	0.27	14.1	15.0	-0.87
Dillon Brooks	72	72	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.41	-14	5	-19	14.4	16.5	-2.09	14.5	14.5	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	78	77	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.35	15	-6	21	14.2	15.6	-1.47	14.5	16.4	-1.92
Otto Porter Jr.	64	64	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-1	11	14.2	15.0	-0.87	14.1	16.5	-2.36
Moses Moody	20	20	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	-2	13	13.1	14.8	-1.65	18.6	14.0	4.69
Draymond Green	71	68	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	2	5	14.3	14.9	-0.55	14.5	15.9	-1.33
Kevon Looney	39	39	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	5	-1	14.2	14.7	-0.51	14.5	15.2	-0.69
Gary Payton II	70	70	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	5	-1	14.4	14.6	-0.12	14.2	16.7	-2.46
Juan Toscano-Anderson	52	50	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	1	7	14.9	14.0	0.88	15.4	14.4	0.97
Nemanja Bjelica	44	42	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	6	-3	15.0	14.1	0.92	16.3	13.9	2.39
Jonathan Kuminga	22	21	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	12	-15	15.0	14.3	0.75	15.2	14.9	0.34
Chris Chiozza	35	34	-0.51	1.01	-1.51	-0.13	-13	22	-35	15.6	13.9	1.71	15.3	14.7	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.55,0.52,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.77,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.6,0.69,0.85,0.57,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 77, MIL 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.79,0.77,0.95,1	91.6%
UTA 87, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.81,0.83,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.99,1	91.3%
CHI 98, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.65,0.54,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.92,1	91.3%