NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	116		Excitement	9.1 [120]		MVP	Anfernee Simons (POR): +32.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	111		Comeback	6.1 [191]		LVP	Norman Powell (POR): -18.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23	0.09	0.15	0.00	8	74%	0.26	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Anthony Edwards	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.22	0.13	0.10	0.00	13	69%	0.26	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.04
D'Angelo Russell	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	12	60%	0.18	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.02
Jaylen Nowell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.03	4	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.1,0.01,0.01,0	-0.02	-0.04	-0.06	17	52%	0.09	5	-0.10	10	90%	0.03
Leandro Bolmaro	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	4	60%	0.08	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Patrick Beverley	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	10	45%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33	0.33	0.13	0.15	-0.05	20	60%	0.35	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.16	0.09	0.00	6	125%	0.28	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nassir Little	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	7	62%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.08	0.01	6	50%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	6	25%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	6	57%	0.04	4	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	17	49%	-0.08	5	-0.09	15	73%	-0.02
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.00	-0.16	0.02	11	62%	0.02	4	-0.20	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.5	30.5	15.3	29.6	2.5	34.6	142.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +1.2%

MIN +22.8%

MIN +1.2%

MIN +22.2%

MIN +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	13.7	14.2	14.5	112.6	107.8	110.8
season	13.9	14.6		112.6	106.9
opponent	14.5	14.4		115.6	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.3	15.9	12.4	12.5	13.7
POR	12.4	12.4	15.8	16.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D'Angelo Russell	76	77	1.14	-0.64	1.79	0.56	20	-15	35	12.8	16.3	-3.52	14.5	13.3	1.17
Karl-Anthony Towns	75	75	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.29	19	-14	33	13.5	14.4	-0.90	14.3	14.1	0.16
Jarred Vanderbilt	68	66	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.56	9	-4	13	13.5	14.1	-0.61	14.2	14.2	0.01
Patrick Beverley	75	73	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.32	6	-1	7	13.7	13.8	-0.07	14.1	14.4	-0.30
Anthony Edwards	63	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	0	5	13.9	13.5	0.39	14.4	13.9	0.54
Leandro Bolmaro	8	9	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	-1	7	13.1	13.8	-0.66	14.0	14.2	-0.24
Malik Beasley	49	51	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	6	-7	13.7	13.8	-0.08	13.5	14.9	-1.45
Naz Reid	18	19	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.04	-11	16	-27	15.7	13.3	2.34	13.6	14.4	-0.79
Jaylen Nowell	23	23	-0.49	0.99	-1.48	-0.17	-11	16	-27	14.3	13.6	0.79	16.3	13.6	2.74
Jaden McDaniels	60	62	-0.63	1.13	-1.77	-0.13	-17	22	-39	14.6	12.5	2.11	13.7	15.0	-1.25

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben McLemore	32	31	0.65	-1.15	1.80	0.15	17	-22	39	13.4	14.6	-1.14	16.0	12.8	3.19
Tony Snell	10	9	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.06	7	-12	19	12.9	14.4	-1.47	16.7	13.5	3.21
Trendon Watford	17	16	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-9	13	14.1	14.3	-0.20	11.8	14.1	-2.28
Nassir Little	42	41	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.19	-5	0	-5	14.8	13.8	1.03	14.2	13.4	0.84
Dennis Smith Jr.	8	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	2	-9	15.1	14.1	0.98	12.6	13.8	-1.21
Anfernee Simons	70	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.33	4	-9	13	14.7	13.2	1.58	13.5	14.2	-0.61
Robert Covington	74	73	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.49	9	-14	23	13.7	15.6	-1.95	13.8	13.6	0.24
Larry Nance Jr.	53	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-3	1	14.6	13.8	0.86	14.0	13.4	0.64
Damian Lillard	80	81	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.38	-8	3	-11	14.3	14.1	0.18	13.4	15.1	-1.78
Jusuf Nurkic	45	46	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.07	-22	17	-39	14.3	14.1	0.20	13.8	13.7	0.12
Norman Powell	84	85	-1.13	0.63	-1.76	-0.49	-22	17	-39	14.0	15.1	-1.08	13.1	16.9	-3.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.28,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.62,0.37,0.53,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 102, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.09,0	89.8%
BOS 102, DAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.7,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.01,0	89.3%
MIL 109, BKN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.25,0.33,0.45,0.32,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.53,0.36,0.33,0.01,0	89.2%