NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	109		Excitement	7.9 [275]		MVP	Sean Kilpatrick (BKN): +28.6%
Brooklyn Nets	100		Comeback	5.3 [267]		LVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (BKN): -24.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.19	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.09	-0.01	16	65%	0.30	3	-0.10	11	36%	-0.19
Jabari Parker	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.05	0.02	17	66%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.12	-0.01	10	48%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Tyler Ennis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Inglis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	13	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Khris Middleton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.06	0.03	15	59%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.07	-0.00	8	56%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Johnny O'Bryant	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.12	0.18	0.02	13	73%	0.33	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.00	3	100%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	15	57%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris McCullough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Reed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	60%	0.07	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Markel Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.07	-0.11	0.02	12	71%	0.13	3	-0.18	4	100%	0.02
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	2	100%	0.04	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.15	0.00	6	58%	-0.01	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25	-0.25	-0.10	-0.17	-0.02	9	59%	0.09	7	-0.34	4	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	29.6	14.5	22.5	2.5	32.3	125.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN -38.5%

MIL +3.0%

MIL +25.3%

MIL +64.8%

BKN -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BKN	NBA	MIL	BKN	NBA
this game	15.6	15.4	14.9	117.2	107.5	105.1
season	14.8	15.0		102.8	101.9
opponent	14.8	15.3		109.3	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.4	16.4	15.0	15.5	15.6
BKN	13.4	17.1	17.7	13.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	81	78	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.24	19	-10	29	15.1	19.1	-4.00	16.2	11.3	4.89
Khris Middleton	76	76	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.14	15	-6	21	14.8	19.2	-4.45	15.8	13.5	2.25
Jabari Parker	72	70	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.25	10	-1	11	15.0	17.6	-2.54	15.5	15.0	0.49
Jerryd Bayless	76	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-1	11	14.9	18.8	-3.87	15.5	14.9	0.59
Greg Monroe	55	54	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.05	14	-5	19	13.7	18.3	-4.54	15.9	14.6	1.29
Miles Plumlee	38	39	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.18	-5	14	-19	18.3	13.7	4.54	14.6	15.9	-1.29
Damien Inglis	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	24.0	15.5	8.49	7.0	15.5	-8.55
Rashad Vaughn	17	17	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.09	-6	15	-21	19.2	14.8	4.45	13.5	15.8	-2.25
Tyler Ennis	25	28	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.05	-2	11	-13	18.4	14.6	3.83	15.0	15.5	-0.57
Johnny O'Bryant	24	27	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.02	-8	17	-25	18.0	14.8	3.29	13.5	16.1	-2.65

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sergey Karasev	36	35	0.39	-0.89	1.29	-0.02	14	-23	37	14.9	15.6	-0.73	18.7	13.7	4.94
Shane Larkin	38	38	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.00	5	-14	19	15.3	15.4	-0.04	16.6	14.9	1.74
Chris McCullough	22	21	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.05	3	-12	15	14.4	15.7	-1.31	18.2	14.8	3.34
Willie Reed	7	7	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-14	19	15.3	15.4	-0.09	19.3	15.3	3.98
Thomas Robinson	19	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-7	5	14.5	15.6	-1.12	17.9	15.1	2.79
Markel Brown	43	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	1	-11	16.2	14.7	1.48	13.7	17.2	-3.54
Sean Kilpatrick	44	42	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.24	-8	-1	-7	14.4	16.2	-1.82	16.4	14.9	1.51
Brook Lopez	67	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	3	-15	15.6	14.7	0.93	14.7	18.3	-3.62
Thaddeus Young	71	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.28	-12	3	-15	15.7	14.4	1.31	14.8	18.2	-3.34
Donald Sloan	55	55	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.24	-14	5	-19	15.4	15.3	0.04	14.9	16.6	-1.74
Bojan Bogdanovic	63	66	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.25	-14	5	-19	15.7	14.6	1.18	14.7	17.9	-3.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.25,0.33,0.45,0.32,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.53,0.36,0.33,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 99, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.09,0	91.6%
BOS 102, DAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.7,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.01,0	91.5%
NJN 124, MIL 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.47,0.61,0.45,0.17,0.02,0	91.3%