inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 99 Excitement8.3 [166] MVPFelipe Lopez (MIN): +18.5%
Portland Trail Blazers 95 Comeback3.4 [168] LVPLaPhonso Ellis (MIN): -24.9%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Felipe Lopez0.190,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.19,0.190.040.14-0.001159%0.221-0.0300%0.00
Sam Mitchell0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.04-0.00757%0.0700.0000%0.00
Sam Jacobson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Chauncey Billups0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
William Avery0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Terrell Brandon-0.020,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0,0,-0.020.03-0.050.012062%0.204-0.228100%0.13
Reggie Slater-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.03-0.00267%0.021-0.052100%0.01
Wally Szczerbiak-0.040,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.04-0.011547%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Garnett-0.140,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.03-0.100.011450%-0.072-0.064100%0.05
LaPhonso Ellis-0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.12,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.10-0.150.001735%-0.192-0.0600%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steven Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.10.100.09-0.01-0.021666%0.121-0.026100%0.04
Dale Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.050.050.09-0.040.001173%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Damon Stoudamire0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.02-0.01653%0.041-0.02367%0.01
Rod Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.01-0.010.00-0.02-0.01550%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.010.01650%-0.041-0.02683%0.01
Bonzi Wells0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.10-0.021560%0.105-0.2000%0.00
Arvydas Sabonis0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.10-0.07-0.01525%-0.102-0.05250%-0.01
Shawn Kemp0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.10-0.130.00719%-0.181-0.05250%-0.00
Scottie Pippen0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24-0.24-0.09-0.16-0.01935%-0.192-0.05250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.31.626.216.727.32.534.4137.0
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +26.4%
MIN +14.8%
MIN +3.7%
MIN +7.9%
POR -2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINPORNBAMINPORNBA
this game15.717.215.5112.5109.2100.9
season15.015.8102.9103.9
opponent15.815.9100.3101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN14.517.414.816.415.7
POR13.717.719.518.817.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Felipe Lopez50510.99-0.491.480.3223-194215.116.6-1.4317.217.20.03
LaPhonso Ellis64650.64-0.140.770.408-41215.117.5-2.3616.618.9-2.25
Wally Szczerbiak73740.58-0.080.650.377-31015.516.7-1.1217.217.2-0.06
Terrell Brandon87870.52-0.020.550.356-2815.90.015.9217.20.017.18
Kevin Garnett81800.490.010.470.345-1615.913.92.0417.216.60.67
William Avery10-0.020.52-0.550.04-26-80.015.9-15.920.017.2-17.18
Rasho Nesterovic109-0.040.54-0.570.05-37-1017.315.51.7617.017.2-0.21
Chauncey Billups86-0.100.60-0.690.05-59-1415.115.8-0.6817.317.20.16
Sam Jacobson1010-0.130.63-0.76-0.01-48-1215.415.8-0.3818.817.01.83
Reggie Slater2422-0.140.64-0.77-0.02-48-1217.515.12.3618.916.62.25
Sam Mitchell3231-0.290.79-1.090.03-1115-2616.515.31.2016.517.5-0.99

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damon Stoudamire4846-0.00-0.500.500.12-40-416.418.1-1.7114.716.9-2.28
Rod Strickland3639-0.05-0.450.39-0.205-91418.016.61.3416.914.82.08
Rasheed Wallace4646-0.05-0.450.390.00-2-2016.018.5-2.5615.915.60.32
Arvydas Sabonis3132-0.21-0.290.080.20-1410-2416.417.6-1.1915.116.1-1.06
Steven Smith5758-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.5510-142417.217.10.0816.714.02.69
Dale Davis5656-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.5810-142417.616.41.1916.115.11.06
Shawn Kemp4142-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.39-2-2018.516.02.5615.615.9-0.32
Scottie Pippen6058-0.520.02-0.53-0.22-106-1617.117.3-0.1115.116.9-1.81
Bonzi Wells6063-0.680.18-0.85-0.29-139-2217.316.90.4815.516.2-0.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 99, DET 910.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.57,0.68,0.83,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.32,0.04,092.7%
NJN 124, MIL 1170.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.47,0.61,0.45,0.17,0.02,092.2%
MIL 109, BKN 1000.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.25,0.33,0.45,0.32,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.53,0.36,0.33,0.01,091.6%