NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	102		Excitement	8.2 [222]		MVP	Derrick Coleman (CHH): +40.4%
Golden State Warriors	99		Comeback	2.6 [575]		LVP	Larry Hughes (GSW): -22.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0.40	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.13,0.33,0.4	0.10	0.29	-0.01	20	71%	0.54	4	-0.14	8	100%	0.11
Chucky Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Dale Ellis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	2	62%	-0.01	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.02
Elden Campbell	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	14	47%	-0.03	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.03
David Wesley	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	9	50%	0.01	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.14	-0.02	21	40%	-0.12	1	-0.09	6	83%	0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Jacobson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.09	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.05	0.01	11	64%	0.14	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	15	51%	-0.03	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.04	-0.00	10	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	4	57%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.06
Adonal Foyle	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	13	50%	-0.08	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.04
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.08,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22	-0.22	-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	24	39%	-0.10	3	-0.12	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.6	31.2	15.7	25.5	2.0	47.5	149.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +27.0%

CHH +23.5%

CHH +3.7%

CHH +3.5%

GSW -7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	GSW	NBA	CHH	GSW	NBA
this game	15.4	14.4	15.2	106.2	102.1	101.7
season	14.9	14.7		101.5	97.2
opponent	14.7	15.1		105.8	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.8	16.0	16.2	14.8	15.4
GSW	15.8	15.3	12.6	14.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Mason	80	81	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.28	14	-11	25	15.1	17.4	-2.31	14.6	13.6	1.01
Elden Campbell	82	82	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.33	11	-8	19	15.2	17.1	-1.98	14.9	11.9	2.92
Derrick Coleman	86	88	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.38	7	-4	11	15.2	17.4	-2.18	14.2	16.2	-2.01
Eddie Jones	87	88	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.39	6	-3	9	15.3	17.3	-2.08	14.4	14.3	0.08
David Wesley	53	55	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.23	7	-4	11	15.7	15.1	0.56	15.3	13.2	2.18
Baron Davis	26	27	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	8	-13	15.4	15.5	-0.09	13.7	14.7	-0.92
Chucky Brown	18	19	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	9	-15	17.3	15.0	2.32	13.4	14.6	-1.22
Eddie Robinson	26	25	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	9	-15	16.4	15.1	1.34	13.1	14.8	-1.73
Dale Ellis	22	20	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.11	-13	16	-29	16.4	15.2	1.19	13.5	14.6	-1.14

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Jacobson	34	35	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.08	6	-9	15	14.3	14.5	-0.21	17.0	14.6	2.40
Billy Owens	58	56	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.18	13	-16	29	13.4	15.9	-2.50	15.2	15.8	-0.65
Vonteego Cummings	56	56	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.41	11	-14	25	14.4	14.4	-0.02	16.0	14.7	1.28
Adonal Foyle	43	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.18	-19	16	-35	16.0	13.1	2.83	14.8	15.9	-1.11
Jason Caffey	76	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.50	4	-7	11	13.9	16.3	-2.46	16.2	12.8	3.44
Larry Hughes	89	89	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	-1	-1	14.1	17.4	-3.24	15.4	16.0	-0.60
Donyell Marshall	71	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.27	-8	5	-13	15.4	11.8	3.60	15.2	16.0	-0.77
Mookie Blaylock	58	57	-1.11	0.61	-1.72	-0.52	-20	17	-37	14.3	14.6	-0.36	14.1	17.5	-3.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 92, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.46,0.6,0.69,0.45,0.23,0.04,0	89.8%
GSW 83, NYK 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.71,0.62,0.37,0.09,0.09,0	89.8%
MIA 102, BKN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.64,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,0	89.8%