NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	5.6 [725]		MVP	Otto Porter Jr. (GSW): +17.7%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	1.0 [972]		LVP	Norman Powell (POR): -16.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nassir Little	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	-0.00	8	69%	0.16	1	-0.01	10	60%	-0.02
CJ Elleby	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.03	8	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	60%	0.07	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Tony Snell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.04	0.04	7	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	14	39%	-0.04	5	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Norman Powell	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.08	-0.05	0.04	23	46%	-0.06	4	-0.11	11	82%	0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.03	-0.03	8	79%	0.21	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	-0.04	19	58%	0.18	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	9	64%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	61%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.01	0.05	14	54%	0.05	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	4	40%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Juan Toscano-Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	4	30%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	9	38%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	31%	-0.04	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.3	26.5	14.7	30.2	3.8	33.0	139.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +48.9%

POR -4.4%

GSW +9.8%

POR -4.0%

POR -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	14.2	14.4	14.5	94.0	103.0	110.8
season	14.6	14.2		106.9	112.2
opponent	14.9	14.5		106.7	115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.0	13.8	14.6	14.7	14.2
GSW	14.3	16.2	12.6	14.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Elleby	14	12	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.16	8	-18	26	14.4	14.2	0.12	13.7	14.5	-0.74
Larry Nance Jr.	49	48	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-14	18	14.1	14.4	-0.29	14.4	14.4	0.02
Tony Snell	26	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-1	-8	14.6	14.1	0.49	15.0	14.2	0.80
Nassir Little	52	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-4	-2	13.8	14.7	-0.84	15.2	13.6	1.61
Ben McLemore	53	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-6	2	14.5	14.0	0.47	14.2	14.6	-0.46
Norman Powell	91	91	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-6	2	14.2	15.1	-0.95	14.0	18.4	-4.43
Jusuf Nurkic	57	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-2	-6	14.2	14.3	-0.17	14.4	14.4	-0.02
Robert Covington	72	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	3	-16	14.5	13.6	0.94	14.3	14.6	-0.23
Dennis Smith Jr.	86	89	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.05	-18	8	-26	14.2	14.4	-0.12	14.5	13.7	0.74

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	72	71	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.02	16	-6	22	14.2	14.8	-0.54	13.9	15.1	-1.15
Kevon Looney	37	35	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	-3	16	14.5	14.4	0.08	14.4	14.2	0.23
Jordan Poole	74	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	4	2	14.0	15.4	-1.37	13.9	15.2	-1.33
Draymond Green	70	70	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	4	2	13.8	15.8	-2.02	14.0	14.8	-0.83
Andrew Wiggins	70	69	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.23	2	8	-6	14.0	15.3	-1.23	13.9	15.0	-1.09
Juan Toscano-Anderson	33	32	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	3	4	15.2	14.0	1.20	15.7	13.6	2.11
Otto Porter Jr.	55	55	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	5	0	14.3	14.5	-0.25	13.9	14.7	-0.84
Nemanja Bjelica	40	40	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	14	-18	15.6	13.6	1.98	15.1	13.7	1.37
Gary Payton II	27	28	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	13	-16	14.1	14.5	-0.45	14.0	14.3	-0.35
Damion Lee	27	27	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	8	-6	16.1	13.8	2.38	15.5	13.8	1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 96, DEN 120	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.79,0.74,0.67,0.68,0.87,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
ATL 86, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
PHX 108, OKC 126	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.6,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%