NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	108		Excitement	5.0 [771]		MVP	Ricky Rubio (PHX): +27.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder	126		Comeback	1.3 [843]		LVP	Aron Baynes (PHX): -7.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0.27	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.23	0.07	0.02	11	92%	0.27	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Devin Booker	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.01	-0.05	11	62%	0.12	4	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	10	50%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Dario Saric	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	10	80%	0.13	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Elie Okobo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.01	7	79%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.02	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jevon Carter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cameron Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	5	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	23%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	9	39%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.26	0.01	0.10	18	78%	0.17	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.04	-0.00	14	71%	0.22	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.04	-0.08	8	68%	0.15	3	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.03	19	56%	0.17	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	71%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deonte Burton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Bazley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.7	33.8	14.8	29.8	1.7	27.4	132.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +31.8%

OKC +0.3%

OKC +14.5%

OKC +4.0%

PHX -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	OKC	NBA	PHX	OKC	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	14.2	110.2	128.6	109.6
season	14.1	14.3		110.9	108.8
opponent	14.5	14.1		107.6	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.9	14.5	14.0	17.3	14.8
OKC	15.4	13.7	13.2	16.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikal Bridges	32	33	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-22	26	15.4	14.5	0.84	13.9	14.9	-1.06
Cheick Diallo	14	14	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-19	20	17.4	14.4	2.98	16.2	14.3	1.90
Jevon Carter	22	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-17	16	17.2	14.1	3.06	14.0	14.7	-0.75
Ty Jerome	22	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.11	-9	-9	0	16.5	14.3	2.18	14.7	14.6	0.13
Elie Okobo	29	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-14	10	15.2	14.6	0.57	13.5	15.1	-1.56
Devin Booker	57	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	-9	0	14.7	14.9	-0.17	15.7	13.0	2.72
Aron Baynes	52	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-7	-4	14.6	15.1	-0.49	15.8	13.2	2.57
Ricky Rubio	61	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-10	2	14.5	15.4	-0.88	15.2	13.6	1.64
Frank Kaminsky	24	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-10	2	14.5	14.9	-0.35	12.3	15.4	-3.09
Cameron Johnson	37	37	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-6	-6	14.6	14.9	-0.34	12.9	15.6	-2.67
Kelly Oubre Jr.	69	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.01	-13	-5	-8	14.0	16.8	-2.77	14.8	14.0	0.83
Dario Saric	71	68	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	2	-22	14.1	16.6	-2.47	14.3	15.2	-0.94

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	71	68	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.03	19	-1	20	14.0	16.2	-2.21	15.4	13.5	1.83
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	73	74	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	7	4	15.1	13.0	2.07	14.1	16.8	-2.68
Danilo Gallinari	61	64	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	6	6	14.2	15.2	-1.02	14.6	15.1	-0.48
Nerlens Noel	43	42	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	8	2	13.0	15.8	-2.82	15.2	14.5	0.71
Abdel Nader	55	56	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	7	4	14.3	15.0	-0.75	14.5	15.2	-0.67
Steven Adams	51	51	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	10	-2	16.0	13.0	2.96	14.6	15.0	-0.45
Terrance Ferguson	37	37	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.10	10	8	2	15.7	13.9	1.76	15.2	14.6	0.57
Darius Bazley	37	34	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	12	-6	15.2	14.2	1.02	15.1	14.6	0.48
Chris Paul	57	59	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	19	-20	14.5	14.7	-0.13	14.7	15.0	-0.32
Mike Muscala	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	10.0	14.7	-4.68	16.5	14.8	1.73
Deonte Burton	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	11.3	14.7	-3.35	18.7	14.7	3.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.6,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 83, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
MIA 80, IND 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.72,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CHI 93, LAC 120	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%