inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 96 Excitement5.2 [688] MVPMichael Porter Jr. (DEN): +17.2%
Denver Nuggets 120 Comeback1.2 [862] LVPDe'Anthony Melton (MEM): -11.7%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ja Morant0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.110.03-0.001569%0.213-0.07978%0.02
Grayson Allen0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.00-0.00757%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kyle Anderson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.00460%0.0400.002100%0.01
John Konchar0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Tyus Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jontay Porter0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03160%0.0000.003100%0.00
Killian Tillie0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Desmond Bane-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.01343%-0.0000.001100%0.00
Justise Winslow-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.00643%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Jonas Valanciunas-0.010,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.01965%0.063-0.07250%-0.02
Dillon Brooks-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.02-0.03564%0.054-0.074100%0.02
Jaren Jackson Jr.-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.03-0.041038%-0.042-0.03650%-0.01
Brandon Clarke-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.00520%-0.062-0.0600%0.00
De'Anthony Melton-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.02915%-0.091-0.03250%-0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.190.040.061972%0.212-0.04580%0.00
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.100.02-0.021065%0.1300.00333%-0.03
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.01-0.031271%0.186-0.1010100%0.06
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.01550%0.0400.0000%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.020.031155%0.0400.0000%0.00
Shaquille Harrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.020.00433%0.0200.001100%0.01
Markus Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Vlatko Cancar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bol Bol0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02267%0.0000.002100%0.00
Zeke Nnaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Facundo Campazzo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.01-0.00844%0.011-0.0200%0.00
PJ Dozier0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.011236%-0.0500.001100%0.00
Austin Rivers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.030.02837%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.52.429.29.624.52.428.6126.1
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +26.7%
DEN +4.7%
DEN +4.0%
DEN +14.7%
MEM -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMDENNBAMEMDENNBA
this game11.915.414.490.6114.3111.3
season14.015.0111.2116.0
opponent14.414.5112.3110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM12.510.511.913.011.9
DEN15.213.916.915.815.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jontay Porter990.00-0.500.500.06-2-222012.111.90.2214.115.5-1.42
John Konchar1112-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-201612.711.80.9213.715.6-1.87
Tyus Jones1112-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-201612.711.80.9213.715.6-1.87
Killian Tillie1112-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-201612.711.80.9213.715.6-1.87
Jaren Jackson Jr.4345-0.14-0.360.230.01-5-191411.412.2-0.8215.615.20.41
Kyle Anderson4243-0.18-0.320.150.03-7-171012.511.51.0614.915.8-0.85
Desmond Bane4242-0.23-0.270.030.21-15-9-611.612.1-0.4715.815.10.67
Brandon Clarke3232-0.24-0.260.02-0.06-6-181211.312.1-0.8016.514.91.57
Justise Winslow4846-0.25-0.250.010.13-13-11-211.612.2-0.5515.315.5-0.19
Ja Morant6765-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.02-8-16811.312.9-1.5315.615.20.38
Grayson Allen5856-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.02-8-16812.111.70.4014.816.1-1.22
Dillon Brooks5050-0.27-0.23-0.030.17-15-9-612.411.40.9716.114.81.32
De'Anthony Melton5250-0.33-0.17-0.160.02-12-12011.712.1-0.3115.915.00.86
Jonas Valanciunas5451-0.36-0.14-0.230.14-17-7-1012.311.50.7215.415.40.04

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
PJ Dozier57610.460.040.43-0.242402415.515.30.2212.111.70.38
Shaquille Harrison39380.360.140.22-0.08159615.615.30.3312.811.41.34
Austin Rivers63640.300.200.11-0.14159615.715.00.6011.712.3-0.59
JaMychal Green41400.300.200.09-0.081311216.314.81.4911.712.0-0.29
Nikola Jokic67690.290.210.07-0.041113-214.816.4-1.5911.512.7-1.27
Paul Millsap29280.210.29-0.07-0.111113-217.114.72.3912.911.51.39
Facundo Campazzo69700.190.31-0.11-0.101014-415.016.3-1.3211.812.0-0.18
Michael Porter Jr.82810.190.31-0.11-0.01717-1015.216.1-0.9211.413.4-1.96
Aaron Gordon48490.190.31-0.13-0.08915-615.615.30.3212.711.21.54
Markus Howard770.000.50-0.50-0.03123-2214.115.5-1.3611.012.0-0.97
Vlatko Cancar990.000.50-0.50-0.06222-2014.115.5-1.4212.111.90.22
Bol Bol770.000.50-0.50-0.03123-2214.115.5-1.3611.012.0-0.97
Zeke Nnaji770.000.50-0.50-0.03123-2214.115.5-1.3611.012.0-0.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.79,0.74,0.67,0.68,0.87,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 102, GSW 1160.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.79,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%
SEA 100, LAL 1120.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,195.0%
GSW 90, NJN 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.81,0.75,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%