inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Pelicans 98 Excitement4.7 [890] MVPJosh Hart (NOP): +11.2%
Miami Heat 113 Comeback4.4 [623] LVPTrey Murphy III (NOP): -14.2%


New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Hart0.110,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.01-0.01875%0.142-0.03875%0.02
Herbert Jones0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.012100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jaxson Hayes0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00267%0.0200.002100%0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0.010,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.10-0.030.071857%0.0100.00667%-0.03
Jonas Valanciunas0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.01959%0.062-0.06475%-0.01
Tomas Satoransky-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00430%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Garrett Temple-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.100.03-0.02333%0.044-0.0900%0.00
Devonte' Graham-0.070,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.00-0.030.04961%0.023-0.0900%0.00
Brandon Ingram-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.03-0.050.021456%0.045-0.156100%0.03
Trey Murphy III-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.050.0060%-0.1400.0000%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
P.J. Tucker0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.100.010.04793%0.081-0.0100%0.00
Max Strus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.130.000.06794%0.0710.00250%-0.01
Tyler Herro0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.050.04-0.061947%0.134-0.092100%0.01
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.11-0.020.041865%0.143-0.101283%0.01
Caleb Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.010.04963%0.0400.001100%0.01
Gabe Vincent0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.010.031254%0.0300.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.010.00743%0.0100.0000%0.00
Omer Yurtseven00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Garrett00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01333%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
KZ Okpala0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.32.528.214.434.52.426.4134.8
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +26.3%
MIA +1.2%
MIA +2.8%
MIA +19.3%
MIA +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOPMIANBANOPMIANBA
this game14.815.414.5103.2117.7110.8
season14.714.9110.9112.0
opponent14.914.6107.6112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOP15.315.714.413.614.8
MIA15.314.313.818.315.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Garrett Temple3032-0.08-0.420.34-0.05-1-141314.315.0-0.7314.615.8-1.14
Nickeil Alexander-Walker5253-0.14-0.360.22-0.11-1-141316.013.32.6415.515.30.19
Jaxson Hayes2927-0.15-0.350.19-0.09-2-131113.215.5-2.3013.916.0-2.03
Devonte' Graham6261-0.21-0.290.07-0.01-7-8114.914.50.4315.714.80.92
Josh Hart7576-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.05-8-7-114.814.70.0916.112.73.33
Tomas Satoransky3335-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.05-8-7-114.514.9-0.4314.815.7-0.92
Trey Murphy III1616-0.31-0.19-0.130.01-11-4-715.214.70.5014.215.6-1.36
Herbert Jones4950-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.03-10-5-513.216.4-3.2315.415.30.07
Jonas Valanciunas5456-0.33-0.17-0.150.08-14-1-1315.913.22.6815.515.20.28
Brandon Ingram7574-0.38-0.12-0.260.00-13-2-1114.814.50.3415.614.60.97

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Herro75730.470.030.44-0.0919-42315.116.5-1.4615.113.81.30
Udonis Haslem17170.430.070.360.08123912.216.1-3.8313.715.0-1.29
Caleb Martin51470.350.150.210.1578-114.816.1-1.3212.816.7-3.96
Duncan Robinson54530.340.160.190.1769-315.315.5-0.2914.315.3-1.01
Jimmy Butler73740.330.170.170.0796315.216.1-0.9814.814.70.07
P.J. Tucker37410.300.200.09-0.141501515.615.30.3016.613.43.15
Gabe Vincent51520.220.28-0.060.0469-316.713.92.7314.714.9-0.25
Dewayne Dedmon50490.200.30-0.11-0.0796316.014.71.3215.613.91.62
Max Strus39400.160.34-0.19-0.14105515.315.4-0.0915.614.21.44
Marcus Garrett320.000.50-0.500.03-116-1718.315.33.0410.014.9-4.87
Omer Yurtseven86-0.010.51-0.520.02-116-1711.715.7-3.9711.815.0-3.13
KZ Okpala2221-0.290.79-1.080.18-1631-4717.714.73.0414.814.80.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 98, ATL 1060.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,195.5%
NOP 82, IND 990.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
SAC 93, DAL 1120.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%