NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	82		Excitement	4.3 [967]		MVP	Eric Gordon (NOP): +11.1%
Indiana Pacers	99		Comeback	3.9 [851]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -12.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.01	-0.05	16	66%	0.14	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.04	7	71%	0.08	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.00
Darius Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.02	-0.05	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	9	48%	-0.01	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Anthony Davis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	12	36%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	9	40%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.02	12	68%	0.14	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	7	76%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	29%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	7	57%	0.04	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	24	44%	-0.01	1	0.00	7	86%	0.04
David West	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	7	33%	-0.00	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	1.8	29.4	15.7	28.2	2.3	29.7	127.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +16.6%

IND +8.8%

IND +15.8%

IND +3.6%

IND +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	IND	NBA	NOP	IND	NBA
this game	15.3	16.5	15.1	90.1	110.0	105.2
season	15.5	15.8		105.6	102.7
opponent	15.2	15.3		99.0	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.2	15.6	16.5	14.8	15.3
IND	17.1	15.7	14.7	18.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Withey	7	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.12	-6	-11	5	18.3	15.0	3.25	16.9	16.5	0.34
Alexis Ajinca	55	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-20	23	15.0	15.7	-0.68	17.9	14.1	3.85
Al-Farouq Aminu	52	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-17	17	14.8	15.9	-1.12	17.2	15.5	1.69
Brian Roberts	28	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.31	-16	-1	-15	15.7	15.1	0.67	14.9	17.3	-2.42
Darius Miller	19	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.16	-11	-6	-5	15.2	15.3	-0.10	14.2	17.1	-2.85
Eric Gordon	72	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-11	5	15.3	15.2	0.10	17.1	14.2	2.85
Jrue Holiday	63	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-16	15	15.1	15.7	-0.67	17.3	14.9	2.42
Anthony Davis	65	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-7	-3	15.2	15.5	-0.30	16.6	16.5	0.06
Tyreke Evans	51	48	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.12	-19	2	-21	15.6	14.9	0.64	15.1	18.2	-3.04
Greg Stiemsma	43	39	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	2	-21	15.5	15.1	0.43	15.2	17.5	-2.32

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	67	69	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.15	13	4	9	16.9	15.5	1.43	15.0	16.1	-1.06
Paul George	66	67	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.13	10	7	3	17.0	15.2	1.82	15.7	14.1	1.58
David West	53	54	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	11	-5	17.5	15.2	2.26	15.5	15.0	0.48
Roy Hibbert	62	63	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.13	8	9	-1	16.9	15.7	1.15	15.3	15.1	0.21
George Hill	58	59	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	17	-17	17.5	14.9	2.59	15.1	15.7	-0.57
CJ Watson	32	32	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.26	17	0	17	14.9	17.5	-2.59	15.7	15.1	0.57
Ian Mahinmi	28	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.13	9	8	1	15.7	16.9	-1.15	15.1	15.3	-0.21
Luis Scola	34	35	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.18	9	8	1	15.3	17.3	-1.96	14.9	15.5	-0.65
Danny Granger	41	42	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.16	7	10	-3	15.5	17.4	-1.85	14.9	15.6	-0.75
Rasual Butler	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	15	-13	14.0	16.6	-2.63	17.0	15.2	1.75
Orlando Johnson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	15	-13	14.0	16.6	-2.63	17.0	15.2	1.75
Donald Sloan	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	15	-13	14.0	16.6	-2.63	17.0	15.2	1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 100, GSW 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
GSW 107, SEA 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.91,1	94.3%
SAS 94, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.77,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1	94.2%