NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	99		Excitement	10.9 [43]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +34.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Comeback	6.7 [274]		LVP	Jae Crowder (PHX): -30.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.34	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.03,-0.1,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.34	0.05	0.28	-0.01	14	60%	0.44	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.11
Devin Booker	0.29	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.29	0.11	0.18	0.01	16	62%	0.32	1	-0.03	15	87%	-0.05
Deandre Ayton	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.11	0.01	14	71%	0.25	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Landry Shamet	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.03	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Abdel Nader	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	8	35%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.07
Cameron Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	9	39%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.3	-0.20	-0.10	0.01	9	9%	-0.22	3	-0.09	5	40%	-0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,0.05,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.11	0.22	-0.00	19	71%	0.52	7	-0.18	11	91%	0.05
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	8	59%	0.16	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.11
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	-0.01	14	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.11,-0.13	-0.13	0.02	-0.15	0.00	21	45%	-0.13	0	0.00	7	100%	0.12
Anthony Edwards	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.35,-0.3,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23	-0.23	-0.18	-0.06	-0.01	11	32%	0.03	6	-0.26	6	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	28.2	14.6	29.6	2.3	39.5	142.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +34.5%

MIN -14.9%

MIN -7.7%

PHX +26.4%

PHX +11.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	14.0	13.9	14.5	97.1	91.4	110.8
season	14.2	13.9		114.0	112.6
opponent	14.4	14.7		110.6	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.8	12.8	14.9	13.4	14.0
MIN	13.4	15.8	13.4	12.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	69	74	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.48	8	-5	13	14.6	12.6	1.97	14.0	13.5	0.44
Cameron Payne	29	30	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	-13	29	13.5	14.2	-0.63	15.1	13.4	1.74
Mikal Bridges	65	70	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	2	-1	15.0	12.2	2.84	14.3	13.0	1.24
Deandre Ayton	67	71	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.45	-5	8	-13	14.6	12.7	1.87	14.1	13.3	0.88
JaVale McGee	25	24	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	-7	17	13.5	14.1	-0.60	13.7	13.9	-0.19
Cameron Johnson	49	49	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.01	8	-5	13	13.0	14.8	-1.79	13.1	14.5	-1.45
Jae Crowder	59	63	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.31	-6	9	-15	14.2	13.7	0.43	14.1	13.5	0.52
Chris Paul	73	75	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.44	-13	16	-29	14.2	13.5	0.63	13.4	15.1	-1.74
Landry Shamet	41	39	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	3	-3	13.4	14.4	-1.01	13.8	13.9	-0.14
Frank Kaminsky	10	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	4	-5	10.7	14.3	-3.63	13.3	13.9	-0.57
Abdel Nader	23	21	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	6	-9	11.8	14.6	-2.82	12.8	14.1	-1.31

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Okogie	32	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	0	-3	14.4	13.6	0.74	13.1	14.3	-1.28
Jarred Vanderbilt	50	52	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-6	9	13.9	13.8	0.08	13.7	14.3	-0.65
Jaden McDaniels	68	66	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.23	2	-5	7	13.2	15.0	-1.81	13.7	14.4	-0.65
Malik Beasley	55	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	1	-5	13.9	13.8	0.03	12.5	15.5	-3.08
D'Angelo Russell	77	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.36	0	-3	3	13.4	15.1	-1.70	13.7	14.9	-1.24
Anthony Edwards	85	81	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	2	-7	13.9	13.6	0.26	14.5	12.1	2.36
Karl-Anthony Towns	86	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	0	-3	14.3	11.8	2.46	14.5	11.5	3.00
Patrick Beverley	72	68	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.41	-5	2	-7	14.1	13.4	0.72	15.1	11.8	3.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.43,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.53,0.75,0.71,0.57,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 106, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.41,0.46,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.26,0	91.7%
DET 90, MIA 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.57,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.54,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.27,0	91.6%
SAS 104, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.28,0	91.5%