NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	84		Excitement	7.5 [361]		MVP	Immanuel Quickley (NYK): +23.8%
New York Knicks	92		Comeback	6.6 [296]		LVP	Julius Randle (NYK): -21.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	14	49%	0.03	1	0.00	7	100%	0.07
Goga Bitadze	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	45%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Torrey Craig	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelan Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.02	0.09	-0.09	0.03	15	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.05
Myles Turner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	10	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	0.01	-0.07	-0.01	20	51%	0.02	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
T.J. McConnell	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	8	12%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.12	-0.00	9	80%	0.30	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	11	73%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	0.00	6	53%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	14	50%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	13	43%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Julius Randle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.09	-0.02	15	35%	-0.05	5	-0.16	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	24.6	14.8	27.5	1.8	31.6	124.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +62.8%

IND -8.1%

NYK +10.6%

IND -19.0%

NYK +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	14.5	93.3	102.2	110.8
season	14.4	15.1		111.4	109.4
opponent	14.6	14.7		109.6	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.7	17.3	16.2	17.5	16.1
NYK	16.3	14.0	17.3	16.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	15	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-3	-2	16.9	15.9	0.93	17.1	15.7	1.36
Kelan Martin	25	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-2	-4	15.4	16.4	-0.95	15.5	16.0	-0.50
Justin Holiday	58	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.42	8	-16	24	15.6	16.9	-1.32	15.8	16.0	-0.18
Torrey Craig	14	14	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	1	-10	15.8	16.1	-0.36	16.6	15.8	0.87
Caris LeVert	58	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.28	2	-10	12	16.2	15.8	0.38	16.1	15.5	0.60
Goga Bitadze	31	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	1	-10	17.1	15.5	1.59	15.4	16.1	-0.73
Myles Turner	59	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.29	1	-9	10	15.5	17.1	-1.59	16.1	15.4	0.73
Domantas Sabonis	76	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.31	1	-9	10	16.1	15.8	0.36	15.8	16.6	-0.87
T.J. McConnell	43	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.00	-14	6	-20	16.3	15.9	0.32	15.5	16.3	-0.76
Malcolm Brogdon	71	71	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	1	-10	16.3	15.2	1.18	15.9	15.8	0.15

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	56	54	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.29	22	-14	36	14.7	17.9	-3.17	17.0	14.7	2.28
Immanuel Quickley	41	41	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.32	20	-12	32	16.8	15.1	1.69	17.0	15.3	1.76
Derrick Rose	44	46	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.14	21	-13	34	15.2	16.5	-1.29	17.0	15.1	1.91
Alec Burks	39	39	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	-1	10	16.1	15.7	0.38	17.1	15.3	1.79
Obi Toppin	27	29	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.05	10	-2	12	16.4	15.7	0.76	17.1	15.6	1.55
Julius Randle	68	67	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	10	-12	15.8	16.2	-0.36	15.6	17.4	-1.81
RJ Barrett	59	59	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.17	-1	9	-10	15.7	16.4	-0.68	15.4	17.4	-1.93
Evan Fournier	47	46	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.03	-10	18	-28	15.5	16.3	-0.84	15.2	17.0	-1.78
Kemba Walker	40	39	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.04	-15	23	-38	16.3	15.6	0.70	15.0	16.9	-1.92
Mitchell Robinson	29	30	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	0.00	-14	22	-36	17.9	15.0	2.98	14.5	16.9	-2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.28,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.68,0.9,0.91,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 79, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.97,1,1	93.0%
LAL 89, NYK 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.85,0.89,0.98,1	92.5%
MIL 92, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.22,0.13,0.27,0.36,0.54,0.61,0.75,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	91.4%