NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	92		Excitement	6.6 [493]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +9.0%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	7.5 [67]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -21.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.00	0.05	19	73%	0.18	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	65%	0.04	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Sam Cassell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.02	0.05	-0.07	0.00	16	61%	0.08	2	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Darvin Ham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ervin Johnson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	5	42%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Redd	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	8	12%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	19	40%	-0.12	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.05	-0.02	10	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	70%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	19	52%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Dalibor Bagaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
A.J. Guyton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	3	17%	-0.10	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.05
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	12	47%	-0.07	3	-0.09	8	62%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.7	27.1	15.5	24.4	2.5	31.8	125.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +23.8%

MIL -12.4%

CHI +14.7%

CHI +22.2%

CHI +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHI	NBA	MIL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.8	15.7	15.6	97.9	101.1	102.3
season	15.3	15.6		104.7	96.3
opponent	15.6	16.0		105.5	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.0	16.6	14.3	13.6	14.8
CHI	15.6	19.4	15.1	13.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	32	33	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.06	7	-11	18	14.9	14.7	0.21	15.0	16.1	-1.08
Anthony Mason	78	79	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-7	10	14.5	15.9	-1.41	15.4	17.3	-1.93
Ray Allen	84	83	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.38	5	-9	14	14.4	17.6	-3.17	16.2	12.4	3.76
Sam Cassell	76	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-2	0	14.6	15.5	-0.91	15.6	16.1	-0.43
Michael Redd	37	40	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.11	-10	6	-16	15.6	14.2	1.37	16.1	15.4	0.77
Glenn Robinson	75	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.47	1	-5	6	14.3	16.6	-2.27	15.1	17.7	-2.52
Darvin Ham	37	40	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.22	-9	5	-14	15.2	14.5	0.79	14.4	16.6	-2.17
Ervin Johnson	51	49	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.35	-15	11	-26	15.6	13.8	1.80	17.5	13.8	3.77

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	45	43	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.47	17	-13	30	15.2	16.2	-1.04	15.1	14.5	0.56
A.J. Guyton	39	40	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.33	21	-17	38	17.2	14.7	2.50	15.4	14.3	1.06
Marcus Fizer	54	53	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.38	16	-12	28	15.7	15.7	-0.00	14.8	14.8	0.02
Brad Miller	66	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	-4	12	15.4	16.3	-0.92	15.4	13.2	2.18
Fred Hoiberg	25	24	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	-4	12	14.1	16.3	-2.15	15.6	14.5	1.10
Metta World Peace	71	71	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.35	-8	12	-20	15.7	15.8	-0.12	14.0	17.1	-3.13
Eddy Curry	21	20	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	3	-2	18.5	14.9	3.62	14.4	14.9	-0.40
Dalibor Bagaric	3	2	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	6	-8	23.3	15.5	7.88	11.5	14.8	-3.34
Tyson Chandler	41	41	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.00	-12	16	-28	15.7	15.7	0.00	14.8	14.8	-0.02
Eddie Robinson	54	54	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.09	-12	16	-28	15.8	15.6	0.13	14.6	14.9	-0.28
Kevin Ollie	56	54	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	0.06	-17	21	-38	14.7	17.2	-2.50	14.3	15.4	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.22,0.13,0.27,0.36,0.54,0.61,0.75,0.96,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 98, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.37,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.47,0.65,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,1	92.2%
MIL 79, SAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.84,0.98,1,1	91.1%
NJN 105, DET 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.38,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.96,1	90.9%