NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	8.4 [224]		MVP	Will Barton (DEN): +39.6%
Denver Nuggets	101		Comeback	2.7 [311]		LVP	Monte Morris (DEN): -17.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. McConnell	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.08	-0.01	11	73%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	14	69%	0.19	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.03
Malcolm Brogdon	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.23,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.08,0.09	0.06	0.06	0.03	21	58%	0.25	2	-0.16	1	0%	-0.02
Chris Duarte	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.06	-0.01	9	33%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Torrey Craig	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Myles Turner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0,0,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.01	8	65%	0.06	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelan Martin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Barton	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4	0.40	0.19	0.23	0.02	19	75%	0.46	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Zeke Nnaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.15	0.17	-0.00	10	79%	0.33	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Bones Hyland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	8	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
P.J. Dozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	5	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.08	-0.02	10	32%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	46%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Facundo Campazzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markus Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	-0.14	0.01	10	50%	-0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	27.2	14.4	29.6	2.5	36.3	134.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -3.2%

DEN +25.1%

DEN +2.0%

DEN +26.4%

IND -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DEN	NBA	IND	DEN	NBA
this game	14.5	16.8	14.5	106.5	109.8	110.8
season	14.4	14.8		111.4	113.4
opponent	14.4	14.7		111.6	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.3	13.7	13.2	13.3	14.5
DEN	17.7	19.9	13.4	17.2	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oshae Brissett	7	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	0	-3	18.7	14.1	4.58	18.5	16.7	1.79
Justin Holiday	68	69	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.26	7	-10	17	13.9	16.0	-2.06	16.9	16.6	0.29
Kelan Martin	34	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-1	-1	15.0	14.2	0.83	18.6	15.8	2.82
Jeremy Lamb	23	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-3	3	14.2	14.6	-0.41	15.3	17.3	-1.98
T.J. McConnell	54	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-7	11	13.8	15.5	-1.74	17.6	15.7	1.92
Domantas Sabonis	62	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-2	1	15.3	12.8	2.54	17.1	16.3	0.80
Torrey Craig	41	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	2	-7	13.7	15.1	-1.39	17.6	16.2	1.37
Chris Duarte	39	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	5	-13	16.2	13.2	2.95	16.2	17.3	-1.12
Myles Turner	63	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-1	-1	13.5	16.7	-3.18	15.7	19.2	-3.43
Malcolm Brogdon	69	68	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	2	-7	14.7	14.0	0.70	16.2	18.5	-2.21

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monte Morris	61	60	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-8	19	16.4	17.7	-1.33	13.6	16.1	-2.43
Will Barton	68	67	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	-4	11	16.2	18.7	-2.49	13.8	16.4	-2.58
Jeff Green	57	55	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.24	6	-3	9	16.0	18.2	-2.26	13.3	16.2	-2.82
P.J. Dozier	48	47	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	4	-5	16.7	17.0	-0.29	14.5	14.4	0.11
Aaron Gordon	62	63	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	1	1	17.2	16.1	1.13	14.3	14.9	-0.66
Bones Hyland	39	42	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	5	-7	17.5	16.3	1.15	15.3	13.8	1.49
Zeke Nnaji	35	37	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.18	-3	6	-9	18.2	16.0	2.26	16.2	13.3	2.82
JaMychal Green	43	41	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	0	3	16.4	17.2	-0.77	14.4	14.5	-0.11
Markus Howard	10	10	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	1	1	15.6	17.0	-1.38	13.1	14.6	-1.55
Austin Rivers	25	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	7	-11	18.3	16.3	2.05	16.7	13.6	3.14
Facundo Campazzo	12	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	9	-15	18.7	16.5	2.12	17.2	14.1	3.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.27,0.35,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.89,0.93,0.77,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 96, MIL 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.8,0.71,0.85,0.95,1	91.9%
ORL 90, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.59,0.67,0.8,0.93,0.96,0.99,1	91.5%
DET 90, GSW 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.53,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.92,1	91.5%