NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	113		Excitement	1.8 [487]		MVP	P.J. Washington (CHA): +22.9%
Charlotte Hornets	125		Comeback	3.0 [536]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -15.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.17	0.05	0.00	9	95%	0.25	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Nassir Little	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Norman Powell	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	15	47%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.04	0.02	9	62%	0.13	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Robert Covington	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Elleby	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Brown III	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	24	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Cody Zeller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.06	-0.02	20	33%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.07	0.02	8	106%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.17	0.07	0.02	14	72%	0.25	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.06
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.06	0.02	20	61%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.09	0.02	8	75%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.03	0.02	12	66%	0.14	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	10	64%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	7	25%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	27.2	15.3	26.5	1.5	26.2	122.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +53.2%

POR -12.8%

POR -6.9%

CHA +15.4%

CHA +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHA	NBA	POR	CHA	NBA
this game	14.9	14.7	14.5	116.5	127.6	110.8
season	14.6	14.0		106.9	112.9
opponent	14.5	14.5		112.8	115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.3	15.2	12.8	16.7	14.9
CHA	16.0	16.1	12.1	15.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nassir Little	37	39	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-17	22	13.1	15.9	-2.84	15.6	14.1	1.48
Greg Brown III	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	15.0	14.9	0.14	24.0	14.6	9.42
CJ Elleby	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	15.0	14.9	0.14	24.0	14.6	9.42
Dennis Smith Jr.	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	15.0	14.9	0.14	24.0	14.6	9.42
Anfernee Simons	37	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-14	16	14.7	15.0	-0.26	15.9	14.0	1.91
Cody Zeller	34	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-15	18	16.4	14.0	2.38	14.8	14.6	0.15
Larry Nance Jr.	33	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-11	10	14.6	15.0	-0.44	14.7	14.6	0.06
Damian Lillard	77	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-6	0	14.5	16.4	-2.00	14.5	15.3	-0.74
Robert Covington	61	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	0	-12	14.5	15.4	-0.92	14.7	14.6	0.11
Jusuf Nurkic	56	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.07	-12	0	-12	14.4	15.5	-1.08	14.4	15.0	-0.68
CJ McCollum	76	77	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.07	-18	6	-24	15.5	12.6	2.93	14.0	17.2	-3.26
Norman Powell	68	67	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.04	-21	9	-30	15.7	12.9	2.81	14.2	15.7	-1.56

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Bridges	69	69	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.08	22	-10	32	14.8	14.5	0.27	15.7	12.9	2.72
Mason Plumlee	54	54	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-2	16	14.5	14.8	-0.30	15.1	14.6	0.55
Gordon Hayward	62	62	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.06	13	-1	14	14.3	15.3	-0.96	15.0	14.6	0.37
LaMelo Ball	70	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	-3	18	14.2	15.9	-1.76	14.8	14.9	-0.09
Kelly Oubre Jr.	64	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	11	-10	14.8	14.4	0.45	15.0	14.6	0.37
Terry Rozier	69	65	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	8	-4	14.8	14.3	0.47	14.5	15.7	-1.18
Ish Smith	28	29	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	15	-18	15.9	14.2	1.76	14.9	14.8	0.09
P.J. Washington	44	43	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	14	-16	14.8	14.5	0.30	14.6	15.1	-0.55
Cody Martin	30	33	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	16	-20	14.6	14.7	-0.15	13.5	15.6	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.28,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 107, IND 121	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
ORL 91, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.6%
BOS 75, PHI 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	93.5%