NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	107		Excitement	6.1 [523]		MVP	RJ Barrett (NYK): +15.4%
Indiana Pacers	121		Comeback	2.0 [812]		LVP	Elfrid Payton (NYK): -12.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
RJ Barrett	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.19	-0.00	0.03	15	81%	0.17	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Alec Burks	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	-0.01	0.00	12	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.04
Reggie Bullock	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	3	56%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Mitchell Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Theo Pinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	12	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Knox II	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.01	0.02	5	36%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Nerlens Noel	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	15	50%	0.02	5	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.00	0.00	18	67%	0.18	4	-0.05	12	67%	-0.03
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	14	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.07	-0.04	12	46%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.02	0.04	16	60%	0.03	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	43%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.3	26.5	14.7	25.0	1.8	31.3	131.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +25.2%

NYK -2.2%

IND +17.5%

IND +9.2%

IND +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	13.8	13.2	14.4	101.9	112.0	111.3
season	15.2	13.6		109.2	111.5
opponent	14.4	14.6		111.2	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.6	13.0	16.4	13.8	13.8
IND	11.8	13.7	13.1	14.5	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Immanuel Quickley	30	29	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.01	5	-19	24	12.9	14.2	-1.35	12.5	13.5	-0.96
Theo Pinson	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-13	12	14.0	13.8	0.17	13.5	13.2	0.28
Nerlens Noel	22	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-14	14	13.0	14.1	-1.11	13.0	13.3	-0.28
Alec Burks	71	73	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-18	22	13.5	14.4	-0.91	12.9	13.9	-0.98
Julius Randle	79	81	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-9	4	13.2	15.8	-2.58	13.6	12.0	1.58
Frank Ntilikina	11	11	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-9	4	15.6	13.6	2.02	11.4	13.4	-2.07
Kevin Knox II	41	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-8	2	14.0	13.7	0.32	13.2	13.2	-0.04
Obi Toppin	52	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-10	6	14.4	13.2	1.18	12.2	14.2	-2.07
Elfrid Payton	47	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	1	-16	13.7	14.0	-0.31	13.6	12.9	0.63
RJ Barrett	72	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-4	-6	13.6	14.4	-0.82	14.0	11.3	2.67
Reggie Bullock	54	55	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.03	-16	2	-18	14.2	13.4	0.85	13.7	12.7	0.96
Mitchell Robinson	44	46	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	3	-20	15.3	12.8	2.52	13.0	13.4	-0.35

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	65	63	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.03	20	-6	26	12.6	14.2	-1.60	14.5	12.9	1.58
T.J. McConnell	45	45	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.06	17	-3	20	12.6	13.7	-1.03	14.4	13.4	0.92
Domantas Sabonis	82	80	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.01	12	2	10	13.4	12.8	0.60	13.8	13.8	0.04
Doug McDermott	65	63	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	8	-2	12.8	13.9	-1.10	13.8	13.9	-0.09
Victor Oladipo	62	59	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	9	-4	14.3	11.7	2.58	13.1	14.8	-1.66
Aaron Holiday	41	39	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	9	-4	12.3	13.8	-1.54	14.2	13.6	0.60
Justin Holiday	53	51	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.21	-1	15	-16	12.0	14.4	-2.33	13.9	13.8	0.07
T.J. Warren	50	51	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	8	-2	13.8	12.7	1.04	14.0	13.6	0.37
Malcolm Brogdon	77	74	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	14	-14	14.4	10.3	4.11	13.2	15.3	-2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 95, CHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.9%
NOH 84, MIA 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
SAS 81, CLE 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.8,0.84,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.95,1,1,1,1	94.5%