NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	122		Excitement	9.0 [138]		MVP	Kyle Kuzma (LAL): +42.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	124		Comeback	1.6 [706]		LVP	Khyri Thomas (HOU): -18.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Armoni Brooks	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.06	-0.01	18	62%	0.23	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0.17	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.06	0.01	10	77%	0.23	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.10
Jae'Sean Tate	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.09	0.01	10	73%	0.22	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Cameron Oliver	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.00	10	74%	0.19	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.05
D.J. Augustin	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.08	-0.01	7	47%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Anthony Lamb	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	7	64%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.01	0.10	-0.08	0.01	11	75%	0.40	5	-0.39	10	80%	0.11
Khyri Thomas	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	12	17%	-0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.42	0.42	0.05	0.36	-0.01	12	66%	0.50	3	-0.08	5	40%	-0.05
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.10	-0.01	14	57%	0.19	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	13	65%	0.18	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.04
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.08	-0.03	6	58%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	8	59%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	12	54%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	16	57%	0.16	3	-0.14	8	62%	-0.03
Devontae Cacok	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	4	62%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.07	-0.07	0.08	-0.14	0.01	5	91%	0.09	1	-0.16	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	24.5	14.7	30.2	2.3	35.0	133.3
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +44.4%

HOU -30.0%

LAL +6.4%

LAL +24.1%

LAL +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	13.4	14.8	14.4	118.4	122.8	111.3
season	14.1	14.6		106.2	108.6
opponent	14.5	14.0		106.7	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.0	13.5	12.4	14.0	13.4
LAL	14.3	16.0	14.3	14.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae'Sean Tate	50	47	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.34	17	-19	36	13.1	13.7	-0.62	16.4	13.4	2.98
Cameron Oliver	45	47	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-5	8	14.4	12.7	1.67	15.4	14.3	1.03
D.J. Augustin	51	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	1	-4	13.3	13.6	-0.24	14.7	14.9	-0.13
Khyri Thomas	80	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-1	0	13.3	14.0	-0.78	14.7	15.3	-0.58
Kelly Olynyk	58	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.26	-5	3	-8	12.7	14.4	-1.67	14.3	15.4	-1.03
Kenyon Martin Jr.	81	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.39	-2	0	-2	13.0	15.1	-2.10	14.6	15.7	-1.17
Armoni Brooks	79	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.50	-1	-1	0	13.6	12.7	0.90	14.8	15.0	-0.25
Anthony Lamb	71	72	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.12	-18	16	-34	14.2	11.7	2.54	14.3	16.1	-1.76

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben McLemore	53	54	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.63	-1	3	-4	14.6	15.1	-0.48	14.1	12.8	1.30
Talen Horton-Tucker	79	79	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.50	2	0	2	14.7	15.0	-0.30	13.3	13.9	-0.57
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	65	68	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.27	7	-5	12	14.4	15.6	-1.16	12.8	14.7	-1.89
Markieff Morris	49	52	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	-7	16	14.1	15.5	-1.46	13.2	13.6	-0.42
Andre Drummond	46	49	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	-7	16	14.6	15.0	-0.45	12.7	14.1	-1.46
Alfonzo McKinnie	34	33	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	3	-4	15.6	14.4	1.26	14.8	12.8	2.03
Montrezl Harrell	54	53	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.23	-8	10	-18	15.3	14.3	1.04	14.4	12.4	1.98
Devontae Cacok	8	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.04	-3	5	-8	14.2	14.9	-0.61	15.4	13.3	2.10
Wesley Matthews	50	50	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.14	-7	9	-16	16.1	13.6	2.51	13.0	13.9	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.89,0.96,0.91,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 112, POR 122	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.98,1,1	92.4%
POR 107, HOU 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.89,0.99,1,1,1	92.3%
ATL 84, CHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.98,1	92.1%