NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	112		Excitement	7.8 [310]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +37.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	122		Comeback	1.6 [199]		LVP	Damion Lee (GSW): -18.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson III	0.14	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14	0.09	0.02	-0.03	13	65%	0.12	1	0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	2	77%	0.16	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.04
D'Angelo Russell	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	23	52%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.08
Eric Paschall	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	44%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jordan Poole	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omari Spellman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jacob Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	20	40%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	7	25%	-0.13	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.15	0.18	-0.05	19	68%	0.40	2	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	86%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.02	14	57%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.02	17	47%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.02	0.06	20	58%	0.07	3	-0.06	13	85%	0.01
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	7	44%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	30.4	15.5	29.4	2.3	31.7	138.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +26.3%

POR +25.1%

POR +3.1%

GSW -3.7%

GSW -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	POR	NBA	GSW	POR	NBA
this game	13.6	14.3	14.2	109.8	117.3	109.6
season	14.1	14.4		103.9	111.9
opponent	13.9	14.3		113.5	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.1	11.0	15.0	13.6	13.6
POR	11.6	15.1	15.7	15.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Paschall	42	42	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.05	-2	-8	6	12.2	14.6	-2.45	13.4	15.0	-1.54
Jacob Evans	25	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-8	6	14.3	13.4	0.89	13.5	14.6	-1.05
Damion Lee	53	56	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-11	12	13.9	13.3	0.66	14.0	14.8	-0.83
Marquese Chriss	36	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-9	8	13.7	13.6	0.09	14.8	14.1	0.68
Glenn Robinson III	62	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-10	10	13.2	14.2	-0.97	14.4	14.2	0.16
Jordan Poole	20	19	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-5	0	14.1	13.5	0.67	12.8	14.7	-1.90
Omari Spellman	23	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-6	2	14.3	13.4	0.84	15.0	14.2	0.84
Draymond Green	62	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-2	-6	13.6	13.6	0.05	14.6	14.0	0.60
Alec Burks	71	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-1	-8	13.1	14.9	-1.81	15.1	12.7	2.44
Willie Cauley-Stein	45	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	-3	-4	14.9	12.6	2.25	14.4	14.3	0.01
D'Angelo Russell	71	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	3	-16	13.7	13.5	0.18	14.4	14.2	0.14

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	80	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-1	12	14.2	14.8	-0.58	13.8	13.1	0.70
CJ McCollum	84	82	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	2	6	14.5	13.7	0.80	13.7	13.3	0.38
Kent Bazemore	65	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	0	10	14.5	14.1	0.39	13.4	13.8	-0.38
Skal Labissiere	31	32	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	4	2	13.8	14.6	-0.72	13.8	13.5	0.30
Carmelo Anthony	68	64	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.21	2	8	-6	14.5	14.1	0.36	13.2	14.2	-0.96
Anthony Tolliver	36	38	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	2	6	14.1	14.5	-0.36	14.2	13.2	0.96
Hassan Whiteside	71	69	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	8	-6	14.8	13.3	1.53	13.5	13.8	-0.31
Gary Trent Jr.	43	45	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	7	-4	14.0	14.6	-0.63	13.6	13.6	0.07
Anfernee Simons	42	43	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	10	-10	14.0	14.6	-0.58	13.3	13.8	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 90, GSW 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.9,1,1,1,1	93.4%
MIL 98, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.94,0.9,0.97,0.99,1	93.3%
MIA 89, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.89,0.97,1	93.3%