NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	90		Excitement	6.9 [464]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +27.4%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	1.6 [471]		LVP	Coby White (CHI): -17.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.27	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.19	0.09	0.01	24	67%	0.34	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.05
Tomas Satoransky	0.07	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	12	70%	0.19	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
Shaquille Harrison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.03	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Chandler Hutchison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	10	36%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.07
Lauri Markkanen	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	10	38%	-0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	7	12%	-0.10	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Paschall	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.09	0.00	17	62%	0.25	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	5	110%	0.19	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.02	19	56%	0.14	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	11	46%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Omari Spellman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	11	54%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ky Bowman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	40%	-0.00	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	3	70%	0.01	5	-0.14	4	50%	-0.04
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	5	21%	-0.06	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.6	31.4	14.7	25.6	1.0	29.7	130.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +41.7%

GSW +7.2%

GSW +7.6%

CHI -6.8%

GSW +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	GSW	NBA	CHI	GSW	NBA
this game	13.7	15.2	14.2	90.0	105.1	109.6
season	14.1	14.1		105.3	103.9
opponent	14.3	14.4		112.8	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.0	12.9	14.8	14.3	13.7
GSW	13.7	15.9	14.0	17.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lauri Markkanen	52	52	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.01	4	-18	22	13.5	13.9	-0.38	15.2	15.3	-0.04
Zach LaVine	76	75	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.03	2	-16	18	13.6	14.1	-0.53	15.5	14.2	1.30
Chandler Hutchison	5	5	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-16	18	12.0	13.8	-1.81	17.0	15.1	1.86
Luke Kornet	21	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.15	3	-17	20	12.6	14.0	-1.45	16.6	14.9	1.73
Tomas Satoransky	72	71	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-13	12	13.8	13.4	0.45	15.6	14.3	1.27
Shaquille Harrison	14	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-14	14	15.1	13.5	1.65	15.4	15.2	0.15
Kris Dunn	41	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-11	8	12.9	14.3	-1.43	15.4	15.1	0.35
Denzel Valentine	11	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-10	6	12.6	13.9	-1.22	15.9	15.1	0.78
Daniel Gafford	18	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-10	6	13.5	13.8	-0.27	14.3	15.4	-1.17
Wendell Carter Jr.	63	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	-3	-8	14.1	13.0	1.10	15.3	15.0	0.32
Coby White	53	53	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.01	-19	5	-24	14.4	13.0	1.44	14.7	15.8	-1.11
Ryan Arcidiacono	28	29	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.04	-19	5	-24	13.7	13.7	-0.01	13.6	15.9	-2.38
Thaddeus Young	46	45	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.02	-20	6	-26	14.0	13.5	0.48	14.9	15.5	-0.63

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omari Spellman	48	49	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	-1	16	16.3	14.2	2.14	13.5	14.0	-0.49
Glenn Robinson III	71	71	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	2	10	15.2	15.4	-0.27	13.9	13.3	0.58
Eric Paschall	72	73	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	4	6	15.4	14.9	0.47	14.2	12.4	1.75
Jordan Poole	47	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.10	7	7	0	14.9	15.5	-0.64	13.4	14.0	-0.57
Draymond Green	46	48	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	5	4	15.8	14.7	1.11	14.0	13.5	0.50
Alec Burks	73	74	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.08	7	7	0	15.2	15.2	0.05	13.9	13.3	0.56
Marquese Chriss	44	44	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	8	-2	14.1	16.1	-1.97	13.3	14.1	-0.76
Ky Bowman	60	60	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	11	-8	14.5	16.4	-1.86	13.3	14.4	-1.09
Willie Cauley-Stein	34	35	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	13	-12	15.9	14.9	1.03	13.8	13.7	0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.9,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 84, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	92.7%
CLE 85, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.99,1	92.6%
DEN 87, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.71,0.87,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	92.5%