inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 91 Excitement4.7 [761] MVPKevin Porter Jr. (HOU): +17.2%
Miami Heat 113 Comeback1.7 [964] LVPJohn Wall (HOU): -17.1%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Porter Jr.0.170,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.070.06-0.041458%0.181-0.013100%0.02
Armoni Brooks0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.04-0.00-0.091233%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jae'Sean Tate0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.00762%0.061-0.022100%0.01
Christian Wood0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.000.021656%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Kenyon Martin Jr.0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.00650%0.0200.0000%0.00
Anthony Lamb0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
DaQuan Jeffries0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
D.J. Wilson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00350%-0.0210.002100%0.00
Kelly Olynyk-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00850%-0.004-0.054100%0.01
Avery Bradley-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0030%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
John Wall-0.170,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.08-0.090.001441%-0.044-0.13683%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kendrick Nunn0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.190.020.082075%0.192-0.0600%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.040.001173%0.162-0.0400%0.00
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.13-0.000.031468%0.1000.0000%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.030.01875%0.091-0.0100%0.00
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.13-0.010.101086%0.062-0.042100%0.01
Gabe Vincent0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Precious Achiuwa0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.09-0.01-0.091136%-0.013-0.0000%0.00
Max Strus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.0440%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
KZ Okpala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.10-0.00-0.06915%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Trevor Ariza0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.01546%-0.012-0.06333%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.32.524.814.723.72.623.2117.8
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +39.2%
HOU -12.2%
MIA +22.5%
MIA +2.1%
HOU -1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUMIANBAHOUMIANBA
this game14.015.614.492.9116.5111.3
season14.114.6106.2109.3
opponent14.914.0110.4113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU14.213.012.516.514.0
MIA13.514.717.517.015.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Armoni Brooks51510.03-0.530.560.12-3-191614.313.70.5715.715.40.38
Anthony Lamb770.00-0.500.50-0.031-232415.313.91.4119.615.34.32
DaQuan Jeffries770.00-0.500.50-0.031-232415.313.91.4119.615.34.32
Kenyon Martin Jr.3837-0.11-0.390.28-0.08-1-212013.114.6-1.5115.915.30.61
Jae'Sean Tate6160-0.19-0.310.120.13-11-11013.315.1-1.8615.415.8-0.35
Avery Bradley4646-0.23-0.270.040.03-9-13414.513.51.0614.616.4-1.78
Christian Wood6565-0.27-0.23-0.040.17-15-7-814.313.40.8415.316.2-0.93
Kevin Porter Jr.6566-0.37-0.13-0.240.10-16-6-1013.514.9-1.4015.116.5-1.39
John Wall6261-0.510.01-0.510.14-220-2214.213.60.5415.615.50.06
Kelly Olynyk6766-0.510.01-0.510.05-19-3-1614.113.80.2515.316.2-0.92

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Iguodala58580.64-0.140.78-0.4738-165415.016.5-1.5014.413.31.15
Duncan Robinson59600.57-0.070.64-0.4535-134814.916.6-1.6214.113.80.35
Trevor Ariza60610.430.070.37-0.01157816.114.61.5313.714.4-0.73
Precious Achiuwa58590.290.210.080.32-123-2416.114.81.2513.614.5-0.84
Goran Dragic57590.250.25-0.01-0.342021814.616.9-2.2714.513.21.33
Dewayne Dedmon39390.210.29-0.08-0.4623-12414.816.1-1.2514.513.60.84
Kendrick Nunn78780.150.35-0.20-0.141012-215.715.20.4414.213.30.85
KZ Okpala44450.070.43-0.350.37-1032-4216.714.62.0413.314.5-1.19
Gabe Vincent550.000.50-0.500.21-729-3621.815.26.5713.214.0-0.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.86,0.84,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 78, IND 930.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.72,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,194.9%
WAS 84, DET 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,194.9%
LAC 92, NOH 1140.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%