NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	78		Excitement	4.5 [728]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +12.4%
Indiana Pacers	93		Comeback	1.8 [808]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -17.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.06	0.02	16	43%	0.03	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.01
JJ Redick	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Earl Clark	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	11	45%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.04	0.07	13	39%	-0.12	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	10	69%	0.15	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	10	74%	0.10	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	14	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	10	80%	-0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	10	45%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	21	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.8	28.9	17.5	30.6	2.8	32.5	138.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +14.3%

IND +15.6%

IND +11.8%

IND +8.7%

ORL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	IND	NBA	ORL	IND	NBA
this game	16.9	16.2	15.6	90.7	105.7	102.8
season	16.2	15.7		102.8	104.2
opponent	15.6	15.8		101.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	20.1	18.2	16.5	13.2	16.9
IND	15.1	15.2	17.0	17.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	32	33	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.13	8	-23	31	14.7	18.2	-3.49	15.7	16.5	-0.76
Chris Duhon	33	33	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.10	7	-22	29	15.2	18.0	-2.81	15.2	16.7	-1.48
JJ Redick	49	50	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-21	27	15.0	19.5	-4.51	15.7	16.8	-1.09
Earl Clark	39	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-14	13	15.1	18.5	-3.41	16.2	16.1	0.13
Ryan Anderson	52	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-14	13	18.6	14.4	4.23	16.5	15.7	0.85
Jason Richardson	47	50	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.06	-19	4	-23	18.2	15.5	2.71	17.3	14.7	2.57
Jameer Nelson	53	55	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	0.04	-22	7	-29	18.0	15.2	2.81	16.7	15.2	1.48
Hedo Turkoglu	54	55	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.06	-23	8	-31	18.2	14.7	3.49	16.5	15.7	0.76
Glen Davis	71	69	-0.69	0.20	-0.89	0.18	-30	15	-45	17.3	15.4	1.87	15.4	18.9	-3.54

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	68	66	0.73	-0.23	0.97	-0.09	28	-13	41	16.0	16.6	-0.56	17.2	15.9	1.29
David West	77	76	0.70	-0.20	0.91	-0.09	27	-12	39	16.1	16.6	-0.53	16.8	18.3	-1.54
Danny Granger	74	71	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.04	19	-4	23	16.1	16.8	-0.73	17.8	12.7	5.10
Paul George	66	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	3	9	16.3	15.6	0.71	17.0	16.9	0.11
Tyler Hansbrough	35	34	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.17	1	14	-13	16.0	16.3	-0.28	14.9	18.3	-3.36
Roy Hibbert	40	40	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.13	11	4	7	15.6	16.6	-1.05	19.5	14.7	4.83
Leandro Barbosa	45	43	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.24	-6	21	-27	17.0	15.3	1.65	15.0	18.8	-3.79
Lou Amundson	12	12	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.11	-7	22	-29	16.3	16.1	0.19	18.3	16.7	1.62
Darren Collison	23	23	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.09	-10	25	-35	16.2	16.2	0.06	15.2	17.6	-2.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.72,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 84, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.1%
LAC 92, NOH 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
CHI 90, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.93,1,1,1	93.6%