NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	105		Excitement	8.0 [271]		MVP	Clint Capela (ATL): +27.0%
Charlotte Hornets	101		Comeback	14.9 [108]		LVP	Devonte' Graham (CHA): -23.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clint Capela	0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.27,0.27	0.07	0.18	-0.01	12	67%	0.31	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.19	0.20	0.00	0.01	22	63%	0.19	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Lou Williams	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0,0,0.16	0.05	0.11	-0.01	11	59%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.11	-0.07	0.02	10	85%	0.19	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.03
Solomon Hill	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skylar Mays	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nathan Knight	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	13	37%	-0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	7	57%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.02	17	53%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.02	0.04	17	62%	0.13	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	11	57%	0.09	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	60%	0.03	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.08,-0.23	-0.23	0.01	-0.23	0.02	13	57%	0.04	3	-0.27	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	3.3	25.7	15.4	24.7	2.0	36.0	131.6
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +28.0%

CHA -4.2%

ATL +16.4%

ATL +9.7%

ATL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHA	NBA	ATL	CHA	NBA
this game	15.9	15.4	14.4	114.1	109.8	111.3
season	14.7	14.2		112.8	109.4
opponent	14.7	14.5		111.8	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.0	17.2	16.5	16.2	15.9
CHA	14.8	14.1	17.0	15.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Goodwin	70	71	0.95	-0.45	1.39	0.36	20	-16	36	15.1	18.5	-3.37	16.6	11.2	5.35
Solomon Hill	70	68	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.35	19	-15	34	15.7	16.6	-0.92	17.0	10.7	6.36
Clint Capela	65	65	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.30	14	-10	24	16.1	15.6	0.48	16.6	12.3	4.30
Bogdan Bogdanovic	76	75	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-7	18	15.7	16.8	-1.06	16.5	10.2	6.30
Lou Williams	57	56	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.29	-3	7	-10	15.9	16.0	-0.11	14.4	16.8	-2.40
Kevin Huerter	61	62	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	10	-16	16.4	15.0	1.46	14.9	16.4	-1.48
Skylar Mays	13	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.13	-8	12	-20	18.0	15.6	2.41	7.7	16.6	-8.94
Onyeka Okongwu	26	26	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.03	-12	16	-28	16.2	15.8	0.36	12.5	16.5	-3.95
Nathan Knight	22	24	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	0.03	-15	19	-34	16.6	15.7	0.92	10.7	17.0	-6.36

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	14	14	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.14	1	-5	6	17.3	15.0	2.26	17.9	15.6	2.35
Caleb Martin	36	36	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-8	12	15.1	15.6	-0.52	16.5	15.6	0.93
Cody Martin	17	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-5	6	12.8	15.9	-3.12	16.8	15.7	1.02
Jalen McDaniels	55	57	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.22	3	-7	10	15.5	15.2	0.30	15.5	16.7	-1.17
P.J. Washington	44	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	6	-16	17.0	13.9	3.04	16.1	15.8	0.26
Brad Wanamaker	54	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-6	8	15.1	15.7	-0.63	15.8	16.1	-0.29
Cody Zeller	32	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-7	10	14.2	16.0	-1.86	15.9	15.9	0.00
Miles Bridges	79	79	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.43	-4	0	-4	14.9	18.2	-3.24	16.0	15.4	0.64
Devonte' Graham	60	64	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.55	-2	-2	0	14.4	17.1	-2.69	15.4	17.1	-1.74
Terry Rozier	69	67	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.26	-18	14	-32	16.8	11.2	5.59	15.8	16.3	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.35,0.54,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.72,0.81,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 84, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.79,0.77,0.59,0	91.0%
UTA 114, MIL 110	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.68,0.72,0	90.7%
PHI 93, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.88,0.74,0.88,0.83,0.69,0.45,0.67,0.42,0	90.4%