NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	93		Excitement	8.1 [227]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (PHI): +14.9%
New York Knicks	92		Comeback	11.8 [150]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -40.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.15	-0.01	0.15	-0.01	13	50%	0.18	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.04
Greg Buckner	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	8	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	71%	0.10	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.01
Art Long	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	10	58%	-0.01	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Aaron McKie	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Allen Iverson	-0.41	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.23,-0.26,-0.28,-0.24,-0.22,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.36,-0.41,-0.41	-0.25	-0.19	-0.03	22	32%	-0.29	4	-0.12	9	78%	0.07

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	7	67%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	15	48%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.04
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	11	59%	0.10	2	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Frank Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.09	0.00	5	67%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	9	50%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.23,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.03	0.03	17	39%	-0.10	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	31.3	19.6	26.5	2.4	39.4	147.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -8.1%

PHI +35.5%

PHI +28.7%

NYK -6.6%

PHI +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.5	16.1	15.5	96.9	100.0	101.6
season	15.3	15.6		102.1	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		104.0	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.2	16.4	14.7	15.1	14.5
NYK	17.3	15.6	16.7	14.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd MacCulloch	63	62	1.04	-0.54	1.57	0.36	23	-22	45	14.1	15.3	-1.13	16.5	15.4	1.10
Keith Van Horn	81	77	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.53	11	-10	21	13.9	18.1	-4.19	16.5	14.5	2.00
Aaron McKie	77	72	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.58	7	-6	13	14.1	16.4	-2.36	16.7	14.3	2.35
Eric Snow	78	76	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.47	6	-5	11	14.6	14.2	0.45	16.0	17.0	-1.04
Allen Iverson	87	84	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.45	6	-5	11	14.4	16.1	-1.74	15.9	18.2	-2.31
Art Long	9	8	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	7	-13	17.6	14.2	3.34	15.0	16.2	-1.25
Mark Bryant	6	7	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.10	-4	5	-9	18.8	14.2	4.59	13.9	16.3	-2.47
Greg Buckner	48	45	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	0.06	-18	19	-37	14.9	14.2	0.65	15.8	16.5	-0.76
Brian Skinner	31	29	-0.62	1.12	-1.74	-0.03	-20	21	-41	16.2	13.7	2.50	15.8	16.3	-0.56

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	45	46	0.52	-1.02	1.54	0.05	16	-17	33	15.8	16.5	-0.71	14.6	14.5	0.15
Shandon Anderson	47	49	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.12	2	-3	5	16.4	15.8	0.58	14.4	14.7	-0.29
Frank Williams	7	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	2	-5	17.7	16.0	1.70	15.2	14.5	0.68
Lee Nailon	7	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	3	-7	18.4	16.0	2.48	15.1	14.5	0.66
Latrell Sprewell	57	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.53	8	-9	17	16.0	16.3	-0.33	14.8	14.0	0.81
Clar. Weatherspoon	43	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.31	-3	2	-5	16.1	16.1	-0.00	14.0	15.0	-0.92
Howard Eisley	85	90	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.48	2	-3	5	16.0	17.7	-1.70	14.5	15.2	-0.68
Michael Doleac	42	44	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.51	2	-3	5	15.6	16.6	-1.05	16.2	13.1	3.17
Kurt Thomas	47	50	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	12	-25	16.7	15.6	1.06	13.3	15.9	-2.57
Allan Houston	80	83	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.53	-12	11	-23	16.1	16.7	-0.60	14.4	15.4	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.88,0.74,0.88,0.83,0.69,0.45,0.67,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 104, NOH 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.52,0.68,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.27,0	90.2%
IND 92, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.42,0	90.0%
DET 80, UTA 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.42,0	89.9%