NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	107		Excitement	5.1 [712]		MVP	Bogdan Bogdanovic (ATL): +24.7%
Atlanta Hawks	123		Comeback	3.3 [485]		LVP	Steven Adams (NOP): -11.1%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zion Williamson	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.24	0.02	0.07	18	74%	0.20	0	0.00	10	90%	0.03
Eric Bledsoe	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	-0.00	-0.03	10	64%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jaxson Hayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	61%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Willy Hernangomez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wenyen Gabriel	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Wes Iwundu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	13	38%	0.05	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	10	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Lonzo Ball	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	15	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	6	37%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.17	0.07	-0.01	11	95%	0.28	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.03	0.01	11	77%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.01	-0.06	11	61%	0.14	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.00	0.01	21	62%	0.17	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	67%	0.05	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Skylar Mays	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nathan Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	10	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	4	27%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.7	31.0	14.6	24.2	1.8	25.2	123.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +59.0%

NOP -6.4%

NOP -15.8%

ATL +9.4%

ATL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	ATL	NBA	NOP	ATL	NBA
this game	13.3	15.4	14.4	107.0	121.8	111.3
season	14.0	14.7		112.4	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.4		111.4	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	11.7	12.0	14.0	16.1	13.3
ATL	14.9	14.1	14.8	18.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaxson Hayes	36	36	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.08	8	-24	32	12.4	13.8	-1.39	16.3	14.8	1.50
Isaiah Thomas	51	53	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.12	7	-23	30	12.7	13.9	-1.13	16.0	14.6	1.37
Wenyen Gabriel	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-19	22	12.6	13.3	-0.76	16.6	15.3	1.37
Willy Hernangomez	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	14.1	13.2	0.91	16.8	15.2	1.63
Wes Iwundu	20	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-18	20	13.5	13.2	0.27	17.9	14.7	3.14
Zion Williamson	75	73	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	-9	2	13.0	14.2	-1.17	15.9	14.0	1.84
Naji Marshall	61	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-11	6	12.0	15.2	-3.16	14.8	16.2	-1.40
James Johnson	51	52	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.14	-22	6	-28	15.4	11.1	4.27	15.2	15.5	-0.32
Lonzo Ball	64	63	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	0.09	-24	8	-32	13.1	13.6	-0.47	14.7	16.4	-1.73
Steven Adams	54	54	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	0.09	-25	9	-34	13.7	12.8	0.96	14.4	16.4	-2.02

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	58	58	0.75	-0.25	1.01	-0.15	31	-15	46	14.4	16.7	-2.36	15.1	10.8	4.30
Bogdan Bogdanovic	62	62	0.70	-0.20	0.91	-0.15	29	-13	42	14.8	16.3	-1.53	14.3	11.6	2.74
Trae Young	67	66	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.12	26	-10	36	14.9	16.2	-1.31	13.4	13.0	0.42
Solomon Hill	61	61	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.21	29	-13	42	15.5	15.2	0.32	14.9	10.8	4.07
Kevin Huerter	52	52	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	12	-8	15.2	15.5	-0.24	12.8	13.8	-0.94
Danilo Gallinari	45	45	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	16	-16	15.7	15.1	0.58	13.2	13.4	-0.23
Skylar Mays	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	16.0	15.3	0.68	12.6	13.3	-0.76
Nathan Knight	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	16.0	15.3	0.68	12.6	13.3	-0.76
Bruno Fernando	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	16.5	15.3	1.21	12.4	13.3	-0.93
Brandon Goodwin	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	16.0	15.3	0.68	12.6	13.3	-0.76
Lou Williams	41	42	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.13	-11	27	-38	16.1	14.8	1.27	11.7	14.4	-2.70
Onyeka Okongwu	43	42	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.18	-15	31	-46	16.7	14.4	2.36	10.8	15.1	-4.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 90, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
TOR 101, DET 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.46,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.78,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
NOH 85, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%